June’s decision: Hold or Rate Hike? Today’s US Employment Statistics will be the litmus test.
Today, the focus will be on the US Employment Statistics. It is a crucial indicator that will help determine whether the June FOMC will hold interest rates or opt for a rate hike. Market expectations suggest a slight slowdown from the previous increase of 253,000 non-farm payrolls, with an estimated increase of around 200,000. […]
Risk aversion mood may continue into the weekend, US employment statistics to be released today
This week, policy interest rate announcements have followed one after another, with the US FOMC and the ECB Governing Council taking the stage. The FOMC raised interest rates by 25 basis points, suggesting a halt in future rate hikes, but stopped short of explicitly stating so. Hopes for an interest rate cut in the […]
Release of US employment statistics during the Easter holidays
After this, overseas markets are likely to be quiet due to the Easter holidays. The US, UK, Europe, Hong Kong and Oceania markets are closed for Good Friday (shortened US bond markets). Liquidity will be extremely low. Under such circumstances, the US employment statistics for March will be announced. The unemployment rate is expected to […]
Dollar rises sharply, US employment statistics are strong across the board, dollar yen to 130 yen level
The dollar has surged in response to the results of the January US employment statistics. The number of employees increased to 517,000, more than double the market forecast of 190,000. The previous figure was also revised upward from 223,000 to 260,000. The unemployment rate fell unexpectedly to 3.4%, the lowest level on record. The labor […]
to see the USD flow after the release of the US employment statistics.
The USD was weak at the beginning of the week, but the USD rose completely after the ADP employment statistics. It will be interesting to see if the flow of the USD changes after the release of the US employment statistics.
Opportunity for the rise of the dollar and yen spreads, both in terms of the dollar and the yen
Since the start of the 2023 market, the dollar/yen has risen, and the accompanying rise in the cross-yen has been conspicuous. The dollar/yen has bottomed out at the 129.58 level and is currently rising to the 134 yen level. With the start of the new year market, Chinese and European stocks have been performing well, […]
The US employment statistics will be announced in the midst of the depreciation of the dollar
The trend of the dollar’s depreciation continues this week. Since the beginning of November, the downward pressure on the dollar continued from the fundamental side, such as a series of sluggish growth in the US price statistics and weak economic sentiment indexes. Fed officials have shown conflicting views, such as a reduction in future interest […]
Employment growth is expected to slow down, but the level is reasonable = US employment statistics
After this, the US employment statistics for October will be announced at 9:30 pm. At this week’s US FOMC meeting, while the rate hikes were likely to be reduced, Chairman Powell indicated that the terminal rate (the level at which the rate hike cycle ends) could be higher than market expectations. aggressive rate hike […]
Today’s US employment statistics and this week’s US economic indicators will shake the market, but US Fed officials will make hawkish remarks
This week, the US ISM manufacturing index and JOLT job openings were weak at the beginning of the week, and the market’s expectations for a significant US interest rate hike have slightly receded. Higher stock prices, lower bond yields, weaker dollar and risk concerns eased. However, this movement did not last long, and caution is […]
Today, the US employment statistics will be announced, and it will be checked if there is any change in the US rate hike route.
The movement to buy dollars has been increasing recently. It is pointed out that the rate hike rate of the US FOMC is relatively faster than that of other major central banks as a material for aggressive dollar buying. The Eurodollar plunged to the 1.02 level yesterday, but there was widespread belief that the ECB’s […]