📝 October 1, 2025 – FX Option Landscape (NY Cut)

📝 October 1, 2025 – FX Option Landscape (NY Cut)


🇪🇺 EUR/USD (EUR Notional)

  • 1.1500: €1.6B

  • 1.1600: €3.4B

  • 1.1610: €1.6B

  • 1.1700: €3.4B

  • 1.1750: €2.5B

  • 1.1800: €1.9B

  • 1.1865: €1.0B

  • 1.1875: €1.0B

  • 1.1900: €2.2B

  • 1.1950: €1.9B

📌 Key Takeaways:

  • Heavy clusters at 1.1600 & 1.1700 (each €3.4B).

  • Strong concentration also from 1.1750–1.1900.

  • Combined notional exceeds €20B, forming a mega cluster.

  • Suggests heavy topside resistance → strong sell-on-rally pressure.


🇬🇧 GBP/USD (GBP Notional)

  • 1.3600: £581M

📌 Mid-sized option, could exert pull if price action narrows.


🇺🇸 USD/JPY (USD Notional)

  • 146.15: $1.2B

  • 146.50: $1.2B

  • 148.00: $673M

📌 Key Takeaways:

  • Around $2.4B concentrated in the 146.15–146.50 band.

  • Strong nearby support and convergence pressure.


🇦🇺 AUD/USD (AUD Notional)

  • 0.6600: A$1.2B

  • 0.6700: A$1.9B

📌 Key Takeaways:

  • 0.6700 = notable resistance (A$1.9B).

  • Together with 0.6600, creates a heavy 0.66–0.67 cap zone.


🇨🇦 USD/CAD (USD Notional)

  • 1.3650: $953M

  • 1.3900: $823M

📌 Both serve as important boundary markers; watch for range-trading dynamics.


🇪🇺/🇬🇧 EUR/GBP (EUR Notional)

  • 0.8695: €507M

  • 0.8780: €765M

📌 0.8780 likely to cap rallies.


📊 Strategic Summary (Option Floor View)

Pair Key Levels Market Implication
EUR/USD 1.1600–1.1700 (€3.4B each) Massive cluster, strong topside resistance
USD/JPY 146.15–146.50 (~$2.4B total) Nearby convergence, strong support
AUD/USD 0.6700 (A$1.9B) Heavy resistance, sell-on-rally zone
USD/CAD 1.3650 & 1.3900 Range boundaries to monitor
EUR/GBP 0.8780 (€765M) Resistance line, likely reversal point

👉 Key Focus Today:

  • EUR/USD mega cluster (1.1600–1.1700) as the dominant magnet.

  • USD/JPY (146.15–146.50) providing strong support band.

  • AUD/USD (0.6700) serving as notable resistance.

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