📊 Technical Analysis — March 18, 2026
🌍 Current Market Condition
👉 The market has fully shifted into a risk-on environment (short to medium term)
🔥 Situation Summary
-
Yen crosses: Strong uptrend across the board
-
Oil: Continuing higher
-
Equities: Rebound with selective strength
-
USD: Slightly weakening
-
Precious metals: Breaking down
-
BTC: Pullback (bullish bias intact)
🧠 Macro Structure
↓
JPY selling
↓
Yen crosses rise
↓
Commodities (Oil) rise
💱 FX Core View
✔ EUR/USD & GBP/USD
-
Short-term: Strong Buy
-
Daily: Sell
👉 Rebound phase (trend reversal not yet confirmed)
✔ USD/JPY
👉 Clear uptrend (Buy trend confirmed)
✔ Yen Crosses (Most Important)
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | 🔥 Strong Buy |
| GBP/JPY | 🔥 Strong Buy |
| CHF/JPY | 🔥 Strong Buy |
| AUD/JPY | Medium-term Buy |
👉 These are now the main drivers of the market
🛢 Oil
-
All timeframes: Buy
➡ Trend continuation
🥇 Precious Metals
| Asset | Status |
|---|---|
| GOLD | ❌ Strong Sell |
| SILVER | ❌ Strong Sell |
👉 Capital outflow continues
🪙 BTC
-
Short-term: Sell
-
Daily: Buy
👉 Pullback within a bullish structure
📉 Equities
| Index | Status |
|---|---|
| NASDAQ | Strong (short-term) |
| Nikkei | 🔥 Strong Buy |
| Dow / S&P | Still weak |
👉 Divergent structure = early transition phase
🌍 Currency Strength
Strong
1️⃣ JPY (being sold → weakening / yen depreciation)
2️⃣ EUR (short-term recovery)
3️⃣ GBP
Weak
1️⃣ USD
2️⃣ Precious-metal-linked flows
3️⃣ NZD
📊 Best Short Opportunities
1️⃣ GOLD (XAU/USD) 🔥 strongest
2️⃣ SILVER (XAG/USD)
3️⃣ NZD/USD
4️⃣ EUR/GBP
5️⃣ Natural Gas
📈 Best Long Opportunities
1️⃣ EUR/JPY 🔥 strongest trend
2️⃣ GBP/JPY
3️⃣ USD/JPY
4️⃣ Crude Oil (WTI)
5️⃣ NASDAQ (short-term)
🎯 Trading Strategy (Important)
✔ Main Strategy
👉 Long Yen Crosses (Top Priority)
✔ Secondary
👉 Long Oil
✔ Position Building
👉 Buy BTC on dips
❌ Avoid (for now)
👉 Gold longs (too early)
📌 One-Line Summary
👉 “Yen selling + commodity strength = full risk-on transition.”
