✅ FX Option Overview (NY Cut | Latest Update) — October 7, 2025
🇪🇺 EUR/USD (Euro-denominated)
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1.1500: €2.3 billion
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1.1650: €2.6 billion 🚨
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1.1750: €1.8 billion
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1.1820: €2.5 billion 🚨
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1.1900: €1.5 billion
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1.1950: €1.0 billion
📌 Key Focus
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The 1.1650 (€2.6 bn) and 1.1820 (€2.5 bn) strikes stand out as major concentrations.
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Combined with 1.1750 (€1.8 bn) in between, the 1.1650–1.1820 zone represents nearly €9 billion in total exposure.
→ This creates strong magnetic pressure, keeping spot anchored within the 1.17s ahead of the NY cut, with high risk of range compression.
🇺🇸 USD/JPY (Dollar-denominated)
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146.50: $930 million
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149.75: $946 million
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151.00: $827 million
📌 Key Focus
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Option strikes are spread broadly between ¥146.5 and ¥151.0, with mid-sized clusters across the range.
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The 149.75 ($946 m) level may act as a gravitational center, suggesting price convergence near ¥150 ahead of the cut.
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A break away from ¥150 could trigger a volatility expansion.
🇨🇭 USD/CHF (Dollar-denominated)
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0.8000: $600 million
📌 Note:
A single mid-sized strike, serving as a short-term psychological pivot.
🇦🇺 AUD/USD (Aussie-denominated)
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0.6500: A$653 million
📌 Note:
A standalone option, with 0.65 acting as a short-term support/resistance marker.
📊 Option-Floor Summary
Pair | Key Level(s) | Market View |
---|---|---|
EUR/USD | 1.1650–1.1820 (€9 bn+) | Strong range-convergence zone; breakout could accelerate directionally |
USD/JPY | 149.75 ($946 m) | Magnet near ¥150; volatility to rise on breakout |
AUD/USD | 0.6500 ($653 m) | Key pivot line, short-term reaction zone |
USD/CHF | 0.8000 ($600 m) | Minor psychological level |
👉 Main Focus:
The EUR/USD 1.1650–1.1820 mega-cluster dominates today’s landscape.
This band forms a critical equilibrium zone for short-term trend balance —
expect tight consolidation around 1.17 into the NY cut, followed by a potential breakout the next day.