πŸ“ October 1, 2025 – FX Option Landscape (NY Cut)

πŸ“ October 1, 2025 – FX Option Landscape (NY Cut)


πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR/USD (EUR Notional)

  • 1.1500: €1.6B

  • 1.1600: €3.4B

  • 1.1610: €1.6B

  • 1.1700: €3.4B

  • 1.1750: €2.5B

  • 1.1800: €1.9B

  • 1.1865: €1.0B

  • 1.1875: €1.0B

  • 1.1900: €2.2B

  • 1.1950: €1.9B

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways:

  • Heavy clusters at 1.1600 & 1.1700 (each €3.4B).

  • Strong concentration also from 1.1750–1.1900.

  • Combined notional exceeds €20B, forming a mega cluster.

  • Suggests heavy topside resistance β†’ strong sell-on-rally pressure.


πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ GBP/USD (GBP Notional)

  • 1.3600: Β£581M

πŸ“Œ Mid-sized option, could exert pull if price action narrows.


πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD/JPY (USD Notional)

  • 146.15: $1.2B

  • 146.50: $1.2B

  • 148.00: $673M

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways:

  • Around $2.4B concentrated in the 146.15–146.50 band.

  • Strong nearby support and convergence pressure.


πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUD/USD (AUD Notional)

  • 0.6600: A$1.2B

  • 0.6700: A$1.9B

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways:

  • 0.6700 = notable resistance (A$1.9B).

  • Together with 0.6600, creates a heavy 0.66–0.67 cap zone.


πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ USD/CAD (USD Notional)

  • 1.3650: $953M

  • 1.3900: $823M

πŸ“Œ Both serve as important boundary markers; watch for range-trading dynamics.


πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί/πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ EUR/GBP (EUR Notional)

  • 0.8695: €507M

  • 0.8780: €765M

πŸ“Œ 0.8780 likely to cap rallies.


πŸ“Š Strategic Summary (Option Floor View)

Pair Key Levels Market Implication
EUR/USD 1.1600–1.1700 (€3.4B each) Massive cluster, strong topside resistance
USD/JPY 146.15–146.50 (~$2.4B total) Nearby convergence, strong support
AUD/USD 0.6700 (A$1.9B) Heavy resistance, sell-on-rally zone
USD/CAD 1.3650 & 1.3900 Range boundaries to monitor
EUR/GBP 0.8780 (€765M) Resistance line, likely reversal point

πŸ‘‰ Key Focus Today:

  • EUR/USD mega cluster (1.1600–1.1700) as the dominant magnet.

  • USD/JPY (146.15–146.50) providing strong support band.

  • AUD/USD (0.6700) serving as notable resistance.

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