-6,966 USD ｜ Is the $4,000 Gold Market Real? → Pullback Buy Strategy Continues

✅ Weekly P/L (Nov 3–Nov 7)

-6,966 USD

The early part of the week saw losses expand due to unfavorable entries in cross-yen pairs.
However, those losses were gradually absorbed in the second half of the week as position adjustments and capital allocation revisions worked effectively.

🧭 Market Environment for Next Week (Nov 10 Week)

This week will feature:

Expectations surrounding Japan’s new administration
Ongoing U.S. rate cut debates
Uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown

➡ A market where direction is unclear, but price swings can still be large.

🇯🇵 Japan: New Cabinet will influence yen trends

A cooperation framework between the LDP and Japan Innovation Party is secured, with Sanae Takaichi effectively confirmed as Prime Minister.

Expected policy stance:

Fiscal expansion + continuation of monetary easing
→ Often compared to “Sanaenomics.”

Implication:
Seen as yen-weakening friendly, making it easier for USD/JPY downside to remain supported.

However:

Finance Minister Jōnai’s funding scandal remains a political risk → may trigger temporary yen spikes.

🇺🇸 U.S.: CPI came in weak, but markets did not react cleanly

Both headline and core CPI were below expectations → supports rate cut probability
But the government shutdown complicates the picture:

Issue	Impact
Official data releases delayed	Less reliable macro signals
Market relies on alternative indicators	Overreactions occur easily

➡ Dollar will likely rotate between Buybacks ⇄ Selling, lacking sustained direction.

💱 Trading Strategy by Currency

USD/JPY

Expected to fluctuate within 151.50–155.00.

Yen-weak backdrop remains
But 154.70–155.00 is heavy with selling supply

Price Zone	Strategy
152.70–153.10	Buy dips
154.70–155.00	Take profit / reduce exposure

EUR/USD

Eurozone growth remains sluggish → rallies likely to be sold.

Price Zone	Action
1.1600–1.1650	Sell rallies
1.1350–1.1400	Take profit on shorts / buy to cover

GBP

Weighed down by tax hike expectations + BOE dovish tilt
→ Better suited for short-term tactical trading, not trend positioning.

AUD

Direction unclear until Nov 13 Australian employment data →
✅ “Not trading is also a strategy.”

📅 Key Events Next Week

Date	Event	Market Focus
Nov 10	BoJ “Summary of Opinions” / Takaichi cabinet policy outline	Whether yen-weak stance continues
Nov 11	UK Employment / US Bond Market Holiday	Low liquidity → High volatility risk
Nov 13	AU Jobs / US CPI (may be delayed)	Main turning point of the week
Nov 14	US Retail Sales / EU & China data	Often a “direction-settling day”

✅ Final Summary (One-Liner)

This is not a week to aim for big wins — it’s a week to ride the waves.
Risk management and positioning matter more than directional conviction.

📜 Weekly Commentary — “Your Gut Sends Signals, Just Like the Market”

The gut reacts to more than food:

Stress
Sleep quality
Daily rhythm
➡ It acts as a sensor of overall condition.

Markets behave the same way:

Don’t watch only price — watch market condition and tone.

Gut Signal	Market Signal	Meaning
Bloating / discomfort	Increased volatility / changing momentum	Stress or imbalance is building
Irregular lifestyle	Overtrading / news overload	Reset is needed
Stress reaction	Emotional trading	Calmness becomes priority

Both gut and market send “small warning signs first.”
The key is noticing them.

✅ Key Takeaways

When volatility increases, don’t rush decisions
If stressed → step away from the screen
Sleep & physical condition are part of trading performance

When the body is unstable, decision-making becomes unstable.
So, stabilizing daily routine = stabilizing your win rate.

🌿 Closing Words

“Your gut is honest. The market is honest.”

The small discomfort, the unusual emotion, the move you wouldn’t normally make —
those are the signals that separate survivors from the rest.

Next week, watch the market and your own condition with equal attention.

Have a calm and steady week. 👋

-6,966 USD ｜ Is the $4,000 Gold Market Real? → Pullback Buy Strategy Continues