βœ… FX Options Update (NY Cut | Latest Data) πŸ“… October 16, 2025

βœ… FX Options Update (NY Cut | Latest Data)
πŸ“… October 16, 2025


πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR/USD (Euro-denominated)

  • 1.1500: €1.2 B

  • 1.1580: €1.7 B

  • 1.1600: €3.8 B 🚨

  • 1.1650: €1.3 B

  • 1.1700: €1.5 B

  • 1.1850: €2.0 B

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways
The €3.8 B concentration at 1.1600 is the day’s largest and the heaviest open interest across all pairs.
Roughly €8 B in total exposure is packed between 1.1580–1.1700, forming an exceptionally dense magnetic band.
β†’ Expect price convergence around 1.16 into NY cut, with capped upside momentum.
However, the €2 B at 1.1850 marks the next breakout target β€” if 1.16 breaks cleanly, upward acceleration toward that zone could follow.


πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD/JPY (Dollar-denominated)

  • 150.50: $1.2 B

  • 152.00: $825 M

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways
The $1.2 B strike at 150.50 anchors spot action near current levels.
The $825 M cap at 152.00 aligns with the upper intervention-watch range, implying any upside extension is likely short-lived post-cut.
β†’ Expect tight trade between 150.5–151.8, with high sensitivity to official remarks.


πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ USD/CAD (Dollar-denominated)

  • 1.3975: $966 M

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways
Single medium-size strike near 1.40 acts as a short-term selling ceiling.
Moves remain correlated with WTI crude direction β€” current structure favors mild topside resistance and stability around 1.3850–1.39 on dips.


πŸ“Š Option-Floor Strategy Summary

Pair Key Strikes / Range Trading Implication
EUR/USD 1.1600 (€3.8 B) / 1.1580–1.1700 Strongest magnet zone β€” fade spikes, watch post-cut breakout
USD/JPY 150.50 ($1.2 B) / 152.00 ($825 M) Heavy topside risk zone β€” intervention alerts active
USD/CAD 1.3975 ($966 M) Technical cap β€” oil-linked pullbacks favored

πŸ“ˆ Overall Summary

Today’s spotlight is firmly on EUR/USD 1.16, with the massive €3.8 B cluster exerting dominant gravitational pull.
This coincides with a soft-ceiling in USD/JPY near 150.5, reinforcing a broad dollar-softening bias into the NY cut.

Expect muted volatility pre-expiry, followed by potential post-cut position rebuilding once liquidity returns.
β†’ Tactical bias: Fade intraday extremes around the magnet zones, then look to join post-cut breakouts if key strikes give way.

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