β
FX Options Update (NY Cut | Latest Data)
π
October 16, 2025
πͺπΊ EUR/USD (Euro-denominated)
-
1.1500: β¬1.2 B
-
1.1580: β¬1.7 B
-
1.1600: β¬3.8 B π¨
-
1.1650: β¬1.3 B
-
1.1700: β¬1.5 B
-
1.1850: β¬2.0 B
π Key Takeaways
The β¬3.8 B concentration at 1.1600 is the dayβs largest and the heaviest open interest across all pairs.
Roughly β¬8 B in total exposure is packed between 1.1580β1.1700, forming an exceptionally dense magnetic band.
β Expect price convergence around 1.16 into NY cut, with capped upside momentum.
However, the β¬2 B at 1.1850 marks the next breakout target β if 1.16 breaks cleanly, upward acceleration toward that zone could follow.
πΊπΈ USD/JPY (Dollar-denominated)
-
150.50: $1.2 B
-
152.00: $825 M
π Key Takeaways
The $1.2 B strike at 150.50 anchors spot action near current levels.
The $825 M cap at 152.00 aligns with the upper intervention-watch range, implying any upside extension is likely short-lived post-cut.
β Expect tight trade between 150.5β151.8, with high sensitivity to official remarks.
π¨π¦ USD/CAD (Dollar-denominated)
-
1.3975: $966 M
π Key Takeaways
Single medium-size strike near 1.40 acts as a short-term selling ceiling.
Moves remain correlated with WTI crude direction β current structure favors mild topside resistance and stability around 1.3850β1.39 on dips.
π Option-Floor Strategy Summary
| Pair | Key Strikes / Range | Trading Implication |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.1600 (β¬3.8 B) / 1.1580β1.1700 | Strongest magnet zone β fade spikes, watch post-cut breakout |
| USD/JPY | 150.50 ($1.2 B) / 152.00 ($825 M) | Heavy topside risk zone β intervention alerts active |
| USD/CAD | 1.3975 ($966 M) | Technical cap β oil-linked pullbacks favored |
π Overall Summary
Todayβs spotlight is firmly on EUR/USD 1.16, with the massive β¬3.8 B cluster exerting dominant gravitational pull.
This coincides with a soft-ceiling in USD/JPY near 150.5, reinforcing a broad dollar-softening bias into the NY cut.
Expect muted volatility pre-expiry, followed by potential post-cut position rebuilding once liquidity returns.
β Tactical bias: Fade intraday extremes around the magnet zones, then look to join post-cut breakouts if key strikes give way.


