✅ FX Options Update (NY Cut | Latest Data)
📅 October 15, 2025
🇪🇺 EUR/USD (Euro-denominated)
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1.1450: €1.1 B
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1.1600: €4.1 B 🚨
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1.1760: €1.1 B
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1.1800: €2.3 B
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1.1825: €1.2 B
📌 Key Takeaways
The €4.1 B cluster at 1.1600 dominates the board, acting as the central magnetic zone into NY cut.
Moderate clusters between 1.1760–1.1825 form an upper resistance band, establishing a balanced 1.16–1.18 range.
→ Expect price compression within this band and muted volatility before expiry.
🇬🇧 GBP/USD (Pound-denominated)
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1.3500: £823 M
📌 Key Takeaways
A single mid-size strike at 1.3500 — potential short-term support or rebound level in a tight-range market.
🇺🇸 USD/JPY (Dollar-denominated)
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150.00: $1.2 B
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151.50: $1.2 B
📌 Key Takeaways
Roughly $2.4 B concentrated between 150.00–151.50, overlapping with the intervention watch zone.
This band exerts a strong magnetic pull around ¥150, limiting directional momentum.
→ Even if broken, post-cut reversals are likely around these levels.
🇨🇭 USD/CHF (Dollar-denominated)
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0.8085: $734 M
📌 Key Takeaways
Moderate single strike — short-term resistance and reaction level to watch.
🇦🇺 AUD/USD (Aussie-denominated)
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0.6390: A$780 M
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0.6550: A$746 M
📌 Key Takeaways
Even distribution (~A$1.5 B total) between 0.64–0.66, forming a balanced mid-range zone.
Suggests limited directional follow-through and likely range-bound behavior until cut.
📊 Option Floor Summary
| Pair | Key Strike / Range | Trading Implication |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.1600 (€4.1 B) / 1.16–1.18 band | Largest magnet zone — watch for sharp moves after cut |
| USD/JPY | 150.00–151.50 ($2.4 B) | Overlaps with intervention zone — upside capped |
| AUD/USD | 0.6390–0.6550 (A$1.5 B) | Tight equilibrium range — muted reaction pre-cut |
| GBP/USD | 1.3500 (£823 M) | Local support, minor rebound potential |
| USD/CHF | 0.8085 ($734 M) | Resistance threshold — short-term rejection risk |
📈 Overall Summary
The 1.1600 EUR/USD strike (€4.1 B) is today’s focal point — the largest single option concentration in the market.
Combined with the USD/JPY ¥150 zone, both major pairs are locked in strong convergence ranges, suppressing volatility ahead of NY cut.
Expect position adjustments and consolidation through the session, with post-cut releases or data events likely to trigger directional breakouts later in the day.
