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βœ… FX Options Update (NY Cut | Latest Data) πŸ“… October 14, 2025

βœ… FX Options Update (NY Cut | Latest Data)
πŸ“… October 14, 2025

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR/USD (Euro-denominated)

  • 1.1500: €1.6 B

  • 1.1600: €1.2 B

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways
Heavy concentration again between 1.1500–1.1600.

  • 1.1500 (1.6 B) acts as strong downside support.

  • 1.1600 (1.2 B) serves as the resistance ceiling.
    β†’ Expect a narrow 1.15–1.16 consolidation zone until the NY cut.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD/JPY (Dollar-denominated)

  • 150.00: $735 M

  • 151.50: $747 M

  • 152.00: $1.6 B 🚨

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways
The largest cluster is at 152.00 (1.6 B) β€” aligning with the intervention watch zone.
With spot near the low-150s, even moderate rallies may stall around 152 as
option barriers and policy sensitivity converge.
β†’ Watch for temporary reversals near NY cut.

πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUD/USD (Aussie-denominated)

  • 0.6500: A$1.3 B

  • 0.6600: A$1.1 B

  • 0.6650: A$956 M

πŸ“Œ Key Takeaways
Total over A$3.3 B between 0.6500–0.6650.
Strong compression around the 0.66 handle suggests a directionless, range-bound session.
β†’ Both dip-buy and fade strategies may underperform until post-cut.

πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ NZD/USD (Kiwi-denominated)

  • 0.5895: NZ$571 M

πŸ“Œ A moderate single strike β€” short-term support/resistance marker.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ EUR/GBP (Euro-denominated)

  • 0.8505: €667 M

πŸ“Œ Medium-size strike at 0.85, likely serving as a short-term floor or rebound zone.

πŸ“Š Option Floor Summary

Pair Key Strikes Trading Implication
EUR/USD 1.1500–1.1600 (€2.8 B total) Strong consolidation zone; watch post-cut breakout momentum.
USD/JPY 152.00 ($1.6 B) Upper resistance zone; high intervention risk.
AUD/USD 0.6500–0.6650 (A$3.3 B total) Tight range; weak trend conviction.
NZD/USD 0.5895 (NZ$571 M) Minor level, short-term reaction possible.
EUR/GBP 0.8505 (€667 M) Support candidate, potential rebound area.

πŸ‘‰ Primary Focus: USD/JPY 152.00 Barrier
This level has historically coincided with official intervention and verbal warnings.
With options clustering + policy sensitivity, it’s a high-stakes defense zone.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD and AUD/USD remain in range-control mode, suggesting traders should avoid breakout bets until after NY cut, when volatility often re-emerges.

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