📊 September 1, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary
📈 Improved / Turned Bullish
-
EUR/USD: Short-term flipped from sell to buy; daily remains strong buy → improving bias.
-
GBP/USD: Strong buy across all timeframes → clear bullish continuation.
-
AUD/USD: Fully aligned strong buy → clear uptrend.
-
EUR/JPY: Short-term still showing some selling, but medium–daily turned bullish → improving tone.
-
GBP/JPY: Short-term unstable, but medium–daily trending bullish → recovery bias.
-
AUD/JPY: Strong buy across all horizons → one of the firmest cross-yen pairs.
-
CAD/JPY: Bullish alignment from medium-term onward → directional improvement.
-
CHF/JPY: Neutral short-term, but medium–daily maintain strong buy → upward bias intact.
-
XAU/USD (Gold): Short-term still weak, but medium–daily turned bullish → uptrend resuming.
-
BTC/USD: Short–medium term improved to buy, though daily still bearish → early rebound signs.
📉 Turned Bearish / Weakened
-
USD/JPY: Shifted bearish across all horizons → risk of break below 147.
-
USD/CAD: Fully aligned strong sell → USD weakness / CAD strength.
-
USD/CHF: Selling bias dominant across timeframes → USD down / CHF up.
-
USD/NZD: Strong sell short–medium term → NZD rebound trend.
-
EUR/AUD: Bearish across the board → EUR weakness / AUD strength.
-
NZD/CAD: Some short-term improvement, but daily remains bearish → downside pressure persists.
⚖️ Mixed / Direction-Seeking
-
NZD/JPY: Strong buy short–medium, but daily sell → divergence in signals.
-
EUR/GBP: Short-term sell, but medium–long term improving to bullish → mixed trend.
-
USD/CHF: Neutral in the very short term, but overall selling bias → strategy difficult.
💡 Strategy Points
-
Buy candidates: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, CHF/JPY, XAU/USD (Gold).
-
Sell candidates: USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/NZD, EUR/AUD.
-
Wait-and-see: NZD/JPY, EUR/GBP (conflicting signals across timeframes).
👉 Key takeaway: Dollar weakness is broadening.
-
Buying pressure is returning to cross-yen, commodities (gold), and risk assets like GBP and AUD.
-
The overall environment is shifting toward risk-on mood, with the dollar under pressure.
