π Today’s Option Data
EUR/USD (Euro vs. US Dollar)
- 1.0300: β¬3.4B
- 1.0310: β¬1.4B
- 1.0325: β¬2.1B
- 1.0350: β¬1.1B
- 1.0385: β¬1.7B
- 1.0400: β¬5.2B (Massive Resistance Level)
- 1.0435: β¬1.2B
- 1.0450: β¬1.4B
- 1.0475: β¬1.8B
- 1.0500: β¬3.4B (Major Resistance Level)
- 1.0525: β¬1.4B
GBP/USD (British Pound vs. US Dollar)
- 1.2380: Β£911M
- 1.2400: Β£437M
- 1.2500: Β£844M
USD/JPY (US Dollar vs. Japanese Yen)
- 151.00: $1.2B
- 152.00: $3.1B (Key Level)
- 154.00: $1.5B
- 155.00: $1.1B
- 155.50: $1.8B
- 156.00: $2.0B (Strong Resistance)
USD/CHF (US Dollar vs. Swiss Franc)
- 0.9000: $502M
AUD/USD (Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar)
- 0.6200: A$1.7B (Strong Support)
- 0.6300: A$1.2B
- 0.6350: A$728M
USD/CAD (US Dollar vs. Canadian Dollar)
- 1.4195: $901M
- 1.4200: $1.8B (Major Level)
- 1.4255: $948M
- 1.4330: $938M
- 1.4365: $1.0B
EUR/GBP (Euro vs. British Pound)
- 0.8400: β¬482M
- 0.8420: β¬498M
- 0.8430: β¬718M
π Key Takeaways & Market Implications
1οΈβ£ EUR/USD 1.0400 (52B) & 1.0500 (34B) β Major Resistance Zones
- These are critical levels where large option expiries could drive volatility.
- Break above 1.0400 β Potential push toward 1.0500.
- Failure at 1.0400 β Rejection & retracement toward 1.0300-1.0325.
2οΈβ£ USD/JPY 152.00 (31B) & 156.00 (20B) β Key Option Levels
- 152.00: A significant support level; strong bids likely.
- 156.00: Large resistance with high probability of price rejection if tested.
3οΈβ£ USD/CAD 1.4200 (18B) β Crucial Level
- Key barrier in USDCAD that could act as a magnet for price movement.
- Break above β Bullish toward 1.4250+
4οΈβ£ AUD/USD 0.6200 (17B) β Strong Support
- AUD has been weak, but option interest at 0.6200 suggests significant demand.
π Current 15-Minute Relative Strength Ranking
πΊ Strongest Currencies: NZD > AUD > GBP = CHF = JPY
π» Weakest Currencies: CAD > EUR > USD
β οΈ Market Takeaway:
- USD is the weakest currency, meaning there is still some room for a pullback.
- NZD and AUD leading, which aligns with risk-on sentiment in early trading.
- EUR remains weak despite option interest at higher levels.
π Trading Outlook & Strategy
π EUR/USD (Bearish Bias Below 1.0400)
- Sell near 1.0385-1.0400 resistance with SL above 1.0425.
- Targets: 1.0325, 1.0300, and 1.0275.
π USD/JPY (Support at 152.00, Resistance at 156.00)
- Buy near 152.00 with SL at 151.50 β Target 154.00-155.50.
- Short near 155.50-156.00 with SL at 156.50.
π GBP/USD (Potential Reversal Near 1.2500)
- Short around 1.2480-1.2500 with SL at 1.2530.
- Target 1.2400-1.2380.
π AUD/USD (Support at 0.6200, Bullish Above 0.6300)
- Buy dips near 0.6200 with SL at 0.6170.
- Target 0.6250-0.6300.
π USD/CAD (Bullish Above 1.4200, Watch for Resistance at 1.4250+)
- Long above 1.4200 with SL at 1.4160.
- Target 1.4250-1.4330.
π’ Conclusion & Market Sentiment
- EUR/USD at a critical juncture; failure at 1.0400 could trigger a drop.
- USD/JPY likely to stay range-bound between 152.00-156.00.
- AUD/USD strong support at 0.6200, likely to see demand.
- USD weakness persists, but caution is needed ahead of key option expiries.
π₯ Stay alert for sharp price moves around these option levels! π₯