📌 EUR Surges on Ukraine Ceasefire Reports, Watch for Market Volatility!

📌 EUR Surges on Ukraine Ceasefire Reports, Watch for Market Volatility!

✅ Key Market Developments Today

📌 JPY Weakens as EUR Buying Accelerates

• U.S. CPI exceeded expectations → USD buying → USD/JPY climbed from the 153s to the 154s
• Ukraine ceasefire negotiations progress → Geopolitical risk eases → EUR surges
• EUR/USD recovers to the 1.04s, EUR/JPY jumps
• Market focus shifts from Trump tariffs to political risks

📌 U.S. PPI & Initial Jobless Claims in Focus Today

• Market Forecasts:
  • PPI (YoY): +3.3% (same as previous)
  • Core PPI (YoY): +3.1% (down from previous +3.3%)
  • Initial Jobless Claims: 216K (previous 219K)
• Key Points:
  • PPI higher than expected → Inflation pressure remains → Fed rate cut expectations decline → USD buying
  • PPI lower than expected → Rate cut expectations rise → USD selling

📌 Highly Volatile Market This Week!

• EUR surged on Ukraine ceasefire reports → USD fluctuations intensified
• This week, multiple stop-losses triggered as the market swung wildly
• Due to unstable price movements, upcoming entries will be made cautiously

📌 Trading Strategy Moving Forward

🎯 1. USD/JPY

📈 Direction: Dependent on PPI results
🔎 Strategy:

• If PPI beats expectations (inflation persists) → USD buying → Continue monitoring
• If PPI falls short (rate cut expectations rise) → USD selling → Observe developments

🎯 2. EUR/USD

📉 Direction: Short-term dip buying
🔎 Strategy:

• Monitor EUR strength following Ukraine ceasefire reports
• U.S. PPI results will determine EUR movements, requiring careful positioning

🎯 3. Gold (XAU/USD)

📈 Direction: Buy the dips, but watch for instability
🔎 Strategy:

• Gold is sensitive to inflation indicators, so watch U.S. PPI results
• Gold is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rates, requiring attention to USD movements

🎯 4. EUR/JPY

📈 Direction: Short-term uptrend may continue
🔎 Strategy:

• Monitor the continued JPY weakness and EUR strength
• Assess how long the impact of Ukraine ceasefire news will last

📌 Key Upcoming Events

📅 February 15 (Thursday) – U.S. PPI & Initial Jobless Claims (22:30 JST)
→ Critical data that will set market direction!

📅 February 17-18 (Mon-Tue) – RBA Policy Rate Announcement
→ Significant impact on AUD

📢 Key Events to Watch Today

• ECB Economic Bulletin
• U.S. 30-Year Bond Auction ($25 billion)
• Speech by ECB Governing Council Member Cipollone
• Trump expected to sign an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs

📢 With high volatility this week, careful entry management is crucial! Avoid getting caught in EUR fluctuations and ensure to assess market trends carefully before making trades.🔥