๐ EUR Surges on Ukraine Ceasefire Reports, Watch for Market Volatility!
โ Key Market Developments Today
๐ JPY Weakens as EUR Buying Accelerates
- U.S. CPI exceeded expectations โ USD buying โ USD/JPY climbed from the 153s to the 154s
- Ukraine ceasefire negotiations progress โ Geopolitical risk eases โ EUR surges
- EUR/USD recovers to the 1.04s, EUR/JPY jumps
- Market focus shifts from Trump tariffs to political risks
๐ U.S. PPI & Initial Jobless Claims in Focus Today
- Market Forecasts:
- PPI (YoY): +3.3% (same as previous)
- Core PPI (YoY): +3.1% (down from previous +3.3%)
- Initial Jobless Claims: 216K (previous 219K)
- Key Points:
- PPI higher than expected โ Inflation pressure remains โ Fed rate cut expectations decline โ USD buying
- PPI lower than expected โ Rate cut expectations rise โ USD selling
๐ Highly Volatile Market This Week!
- EUR surged on Ukraine ceasefire reports โ USD fluctuations intensified
- This week, multiple stop-losses triggered as the market swung wildly
- Due to unstable price movements, upcoming entries will be made cautiously
๐ Trading Strategy Moving Forward
๐ฏ 1. USD/JPY
๐ Direction: Dependent on PPI results
๐ Strategy:
- If PPI beats expectations (inflation persists) โ USD buying โ Continue monitoring
- If PPI falls short (rate cut expectations rise) โ USD selling โ Observe developments
๐ฏ 2. EUR/USD
๐ Direction: Short-term dip buying
๐ Strategy:
- Monitor EUR strength following Ukraine ceasefire reports
- U.S. PPI results will determine EUR movements, requiring careful positioning
๐ฏ 3. Gold (XAU/USD)
๐ Direction: Buy the dips, but watch for instability
๐ Strategy:
- Gold is sensitive to inflation indicators, so watch U.S. PPI results
- Gold is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rates, requiring attention to USD movements
๐ฏ 4. EUR/JPY
๐ Direction: Short-term uptrend may continue
๐ Strategy:
- Monitor the continued JPY weakness and EUR strength
- Assess how long the impact of Ukraine ceasefire news will last
๐ Key Upcoming Events
๐
February 15 (Thursday) โ U.S. PPI & Initial Jobless Claims (22:30 JST)
โ Critical data that will set market direction!
๐
February 17-18 (Mon-Tue) โ RBA Policy Rate Announcement
โ Significant impact on AUD
๐ข Key Events to Watch Today
- ECB Economic Bulletin
- U.S. 30-Year Bond Auction ($25 billion)
- Speech by ECB Governing Council Member Cipollone
- Trump expected to sign an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs
๐ข With high volatility this week, careful entry management is crucial! Avoid getting caught in EUR fluctuations and ensure to assess market trends carefully before making trades.๐ฅ
