Trading Strategies with an Eye on This Week’s U.S. Jobs Report and Potential Market Adjustment
Trading Strategies with an Eye on This Week’s U.S. Jobs Report and Potential Market Adjustment Weekly Outlook and Market Trends Week’s Highlight: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls due Friday, January 10 Non-Farm Payrolls: Market predicts an increase of 160k (down from the previous 227k). Related indicators (ADP Employment, Initial Jobless Claims) are generally expected to show weakness. […]
Stability in Asian Markets, USD/JPY Maintains Resilience
Stability in Asian Markets, USD/JPY Maintains Resilience Market Conditions and Key Developments The Asian markets are showing relative stability, backed by movements in South Korea and China. Notably, South Korea’s stock market remains steady despite reports of an arrest warrant for the President. Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China has hinted at rate cuts in […]
Year-End and New Year’s Fragmented Market: Hold Back on Aggressive Trading
Year-End and New Year’s Fragmented Market: Hold Back on Aggressive Trading Market Environment and Key Points This week presents a unique trading environment, as New Year’s Day (January 1) falls midweek on Wednesday. Additionally, the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report will not be released this week; instead, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for Friday. […]
Looking Ahead to Next Year: Dollar Strength and Yen Weakness, Year-End Focus on Adjustments and Intervention Risks
Looking Ahead to Next Year: Dollar Strength and Yen Weakness, Year-End Focus on Adjustments and Intervention Risks Dollar Strength and Yen Weakness into Next Year Post-Japan-U.S. Monetary Policy Developments BOJ: The Bank of Japan adopts a cautious approach to policy decisions, citing wage trends and policies under President-elect Trump. U.S.: Persistent inflation pressures and expectations […]
“A Week to Rest”: Assessing the Path of Dollar Adjustment Amid Low Liquidity
“A Week to Rest”: Assessing the Path of Dollar Adjustment Amid Low Liquidity Key Points This Week: Liquidity Decline Restrains Trading Environment Market Trends Holidays Impacting Liquidity: From Tuesday to Thursday, major markets such as the U.S., U.K., and EU will have shortened trading hours or be closed for Christmas-related holidays. The forex market sees […]
U.S. PCE Deflator Falls Short of Expectations, Triggering Broad Dollar Selling
U.S. PCE Deflator Falls Short of Expectations, Triggering Broad Dollar Selling U.S. PCE Deflator Results The November U.S. PCE Deflator was released as follows: YoY: +2.4% (previous: +2.3%) Market Forecast: +2.5% The Core PCE Deflator also came in below market expectations, signaling a slowdown in inflation. Following the release, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields declined, leading […]
Focus on Market Movements as the U.S., Japan, and U.K. Central Banks Conclude Policy Announcements Ahead of Year-End
Focus on Market Movements as the U.S., Japan, and U.K. Central Banks Conclude Policy Announcements Ahead of Year-End Summary of This Week’s Monetary Policy Announcements This week saw major events, including the U.S. FOMC, BOJ policy meeting, and the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). Here’s a brief summary of their outcomes and market […]
U.S. FOMC and BOJ Deliver Expected Policy Announcements, Focus Shifts to the Bank of England
U.S. FOMC and BOJ Deliver Expected Policy Announcements, Focus Shifts to the Bank of England Key Monetary Policy Outcomes and Market Reactions 1. U.S. FOMC Results and Dollar Movements At yesterday’s FOMC meeting, a 25-basis-point rate cut was announced as expected. Key takeaways include: The number of rate cuts projected for next year was reduced […]
Focus on the U.S. FOMC: Powell’s Press Conference and Rate Cut Outlook in Spotlight
Focus on the U.S. FOMC: Powell’s Press Conference and Rate Cut Outlook in Spotlight Market’s Key Event Today’s highlight is the final U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year. The market has priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut with a probability of approximately 95.4% (CME FedWatch). While the immediate reaction to the […]
Final Key Week of the Year: Central Bank Policies in Focus
Final Key Week of the Year: Central Bank Policies in Focus This Week’s Highlights This week marks a pivotal period as trading for the year essentially concludes. Major central bank monetary policy decisions, including the FOMC, BOJ, and BOE, are scheduled for later this week. These policy updates will be critical in shaping market direction […]