💹 USD/JPY: Rebounds Remain Limited — The Underlying Bias Is Still Down
💹 USD/JPY: Rebounds Remain Limited — The Underlying Bias Is Still Down — Policy shifts in both Japan and the US keep the pair under heavy pressure 【1】Previous Session: Sharp drop to high-154s → mild rebound in NY USD/JPY fell into the 154.80s, driven by a rare combination of factors: Bitcoin crash → risk-off yen […]
💹 USD/JPY: Downside Risks Becoming Increasingly Clear
💹 USD/JPY: Downside Risks Becoming Increasingly Clear — Policy Expectations in Japan and the U.S. Reverse Simultaneously, Narrowing the Rate Differential** 1. USD/JPY: Diverging Policy Directions Increase Downside Pressure In today’s overseas session, the environment calls for heightened caution over further downside in USD/JPY. ■ BOJ: December Rate-Hike Expectations Surge Governor Ueda signaled a clear […]
💹 Liquidity Thins on U.S. Black Friday
💹 Liquidity Thins on U.S. Black Friday — CME outage halts parts of trading while Europe faces a data-heavy session led by Germany and France 【1】Lower Liquidity on U.S. Black Friday Following yesterday’s full U.S. Thanksgiving holiday,today is Black Friday, with shortened U.S. trading hours. Many traders are off on holiday Liquidity is thin and […]
💹 Dollar Gently Rebounds in a Quiet Holiday Market
💹 Dollar Gently Rebounds in a Quiet Holiday Market — With the U.S. shut for Thanksgiving, FX moves are dominated by position-adjustments. USD/JPY drifts lower with a heavy top. 【1】Thanksgiving Shuts Down U.S. Markets — Expect an Ultra-Quiet Session Today’s central theme is simple: U.S. markets are fully closed for Thanksgiving. Stocks and bonds are […]
💹 Dollar Selling Pressure Gradually Intensifies
💹 Dollar Selling Pressure Gradually Intensifies — A volatile day driven by soaring U.S. rate-cut expectations, renewed BoJ hawkish bets, and speculation surrounding the U.K. budget 【1】U.S.: Market Enters “Rate-Cut Front-Running Mode” A series of cautious comments from Fed officials pushedDecember rate-cut expectations to around 85% (CME basis) —a dramatic shift from last week’s 30% […]
✅ Rationale for EUR Buy & Oil Sell
✅ Rationale for EUR Buy & Oil Sell 🔵 1. Progress in Ukraine Peace Talks → Lower European Risk → EUR Buying Ukraine has agreed to the U.S.-proposed 19-point peace framework. U.S. and Russian officials reportedly held secret talks in Abu Dhabi,and U.S. officials are “optimistic” about a deal. As geopolitical risks in Europe decline— […]
💹 A Quiet yet Turbulent Start to the Week — A Rare Market Setup Where Both Yen and Dollar Are Sold
💹 A Quiet yet Turbulent Start to the Week — A Rare Market Setup Where Both Yen and Dollar Are Sold [1] Equities: A Modest Rebound, but the “Heavy Atmosphere” Remains Asian markets opened the week with a mild rebound,and U.S. equity futures are holding in positive territory.On the surface, conditions look calm — but […]
💹 European PMIs: UK and Germany Lose Momentum, France Stands Alone — USD/JPY Stalls in a Pre-Weekend, Exhausted Market
💹 European PMIs: UK and Germany Lose Momentum, France Stands Alone — USD/JPY Stalls in a Pre-Weekend, Exhausted Market — Position-trimming ahead of the long weekend weighs on USD/JPY, but the upside “spark” is not gone ■ USD/JPY: Pre-holiday unwinding dominates, but upside potential still remains Tokyo trading ahead of the long weekend saw participants […]
📝 December FOMC Rate-Cut Expectations: “Dipped, Then Rebounded Slightly”
📝 December FOMC Rate-Cut Expectations: “Dipped, Then Rebounded Slightly” Because the September U.S. jobs report was delayed due to the government shutdown, its release showed a mixed picture: Nonfarm payrolls: +119k (vs. +51k expected) → strong Unemployment rate: 4.4% (vs. 4.3% expected) → unexpected rise Previous two months: revised down a total of -33k The […]
💹 Dollar Strength / Yen Weakness Remains Intact — Market Focus Turns to U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls
💹 Dollar Strength / Yen Weakness Remains Intact — Market Focus Turns to U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls ■ USD/JPY: Every Dip Bought, Pushing Toward the Upper 157s USD/JPY carried its overseas momentum into domestic trading,with persistent buying lifting the pair to 157.69. Intervention concerns remain in the background, but their effectiveness is fading: Japanese officials’ comments […]