📊 ADP Employment Report (August) — All Eyes on Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls
📊 ADP Employment Report (August) — All Eyes on Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls 🌍 Market Overview Tomorrow brings the release of the August U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Last month’s NFP came in below expectations, with May and June revised sharply lower. This raised questions over the reliability of the data and had a major market impact. […]
💱 Market Notes & Strategy – U.S. JOLTs Job Openings
💱 Market Notes & Strategy – U.S. JOLTs Job Openings 🔹 Market Overview USD/JPY: Stalled just below 149. Currently mid-148s.→ Strong awareness of government/BoJ intervention zone (149–150). Dollar Index (DXY): Rose to 98.6, then eased back to 98.2. Pound Selling Leads USD Buying: U.K. fiscal concerns triggered sharp GBP/USD drop → spillover into broader dollar […]
💱 FX Market Shaken Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data | ISM Uptick & Sterling Selloff in Focus
💱 FX Market Shaken Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data | ISM Uptick & Sterling Selloff in Focus 🌍 Global Market Environment U.S. and Canadian markets were closed yesterday for Labor Day; liquidity was thin. This week’s focus is squarely on Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). The last NFP shocked markets with major downward revisions, cementing […]
🌍 Market Overview | U.S. Holiday for Labor Day, Focus on Friday’s NFP
🌍 Market Overview | U.S. Holiday for Labor Day, Focus on Friday’s NFP 💱 FX & Commodities U.S. and Canadian markets closed for Labor Day → low liquidity, wait-and-see mood. Gold surged near $3,500, driven by: Geopolitical risks Concerns over Fed independence De-dollarization flows Main event this week: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. Market […]
💱 Focus on U.S. PCE Price Index — Inflation Outlook in the Spotlight
💱 Focus on U.S. PCE Price Index — Inflation Outlook in the Spotlight Today marks the final trading day of August. The FX market remains directionless as conflicting factors weigh on sentiment. Dollar-negative factor: President Trump’s attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Cook revived doubts over the Fed’s independence, pressuring the dollar lower. Dollar-positive factor: U.S. […]
💱 U.S. GDP (Revised) — Market Overview Report (Aug 28–29)
💱 U.S. GDP (Revised) — Market Overview Report (Aug 28–29) 📉 Market Snapshot Focus today: U.S. GDP (revised) and weekly jobless claims. FX market remains influenced by month-end flows, with overall direction still unclear. 📊 Expected Ranges by Currency Pair Pair Range Notes USD/JPY 146.80 – 147.80 Driven by U.S. data swings; consolidation around 147.00. […]
💱 U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence — Market Scenario & Strategy
💱 U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence — Market Scenario & Strategy 📉 Market Overview Powell’s Jackson Hole speech reaffirmed a “data-dependent” stance. He flagged weakness in the labor market but left inflation concerns unresolved. September FOMC: 25bp rate cut odds ~90%, no major shift in market view. 💵 Tokyo Session Moves USD/JPY: Traded in a […]
💹 Dollar Weakness Pauses, Market Searching for Direction
💹 Dollar Weakness Pauses, Market Searching for Direction 📌 Recap: End of Last Week & Tokyo Session Powell’s Jackson Hole speech revived rate-cut expectations, driving dollar weakness late last week. Tokyo opening: USD/JPY briefly climbed to 147.53, but fell back to the low-147s in a corrective move. U.S. equities supported risk-on yen selling, but follow-through […]
📌 Market Outlook: Quiet Adjustment Ahead of Powell’s Speech
📌 Market Outlook: Quiet Adjustment Ahead of Powell’s Speech 💱 Key Event: Powell’s Jackson Hole Address Focus: September FOMC rate cut outlook & the independence of the Fed. Scenarios: Dovish (rate cut hint) → U.S. yields lower, dollar selling → support for equities & risk assets. Hawkish / Emphasis on independence → U.S. yields higher, […]
📊 Daily Trade Strategy & Technical Analysis — August 21–22, 2025
📊 Daily Trade Strategy & Technical Analysis — August 21–22, 2025 💱 Market Overview Tokyo session remained directionless, with markets awaiting Powell’s Jackson Hole speech (tomorrow, Aug 22 evening). Today’s focus: Eurozone/US PMI flash data & US jobless claims. However, moves are likely to be short-lived. Base case: range-bound corrective trading until Powell. 📊 Pair-by-Pair […]