The beginning of the week starts with a risk-averse market from China
A risk-averse mood prevailed in the market at the beginning of the week. China hit a record high number of new infections over the weekend. In response to this, protests against the zero-corona policy are spreading in various parts of China, creating a situation of social unrest. In addition to concerns about a slowdown in […]
Will the pattern-viewing mood spread?
The US market was closed yesterday for Thanksgiving. Although the market is open today, the markets for stocks and bonds are truncated, and the foreign exchange market has extremely few participants every year. With few trading participants, the market is likely to enter a wait-and-see mood. Is the dollar/yen trending around the 138 yen level? […]
In the November FOMC summary, the majority argued that rate hikes would slow down soon.
The US Federal Reserve Board (FRB) released the minutes of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held on the 1st and 2nd on the 23rd. While many were skeptical that high inflation would end, the majority argued that a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes would likely be appropriate in the near future. […]
Exploring views on the pace of future interest rate hikes and final levels in the minutes of the US FOMC
Today, the latest US FOMC meeting minutes (held on November 1-2) will be released. Preliminary market expectations are that the next rate hike in December will be reduced to 50 basis points. Currently, CME FedWatch is priced at 75.8% for 50bp and 24.2% for 75bp. A slowdown from four consecutive 75bp rate hikes is expected. […]
Conscious of strong USD trend
In the market at the beginning of the week, USD-buying is generally dominant. The USD/yen has crossed the mid-140 yen level. However, there is also a somewhat cautious stance on buying from here. Fed President Bullard’s hawkish remarks last Thursday took a step back from widespread market expectations of a correction in the rate hike […]
The flow of the dollar market is stagnant, and the pace of US interest rate hikes is slowing, but the end point is not set
It is becoming difficult to see the direction of the dollar exchange rate this week. Market attention is focused on changes in the Fed’s interest rate hike stance. Following a series of slowdowns in U.S. inflation indicators, there is a growing consensus in the market that the pace of future interest rate hikes will slow […]
Dollar buying intensifies, Governor Bullard mentions interest rate range of 5-7%
Dollar-buying is suddenly intensifying towards the beginning of NY. In reaction to St. Louis Fed President Bullard, who said monetary policy is not yet in a sufficiently restrictive range, policy rules suggest a 5-7% interest rate range. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped to 3.77%. USD/JPY hits 140.52 level high. EURUSD made new lows at […]
Despite the depreciation of the dollar, there is an image that price movements are settling down, and today the UK financial plan was announced
The dollar market continues to trend toward a weaker dollar. As for the future direction of the US Fed, the 50bp rate hike at the December meeting has become almost a consensus, and expectations for a slowdown in the pace of rate hikes next year are becoming mainstream. On the other hand, it is […]
Pay attention to the pound-dollar, which has a lot of ingredients, as the trend of depreciation of the dollar continues
I would like to pay attention to the trend of the pound-dollar today to see if the trend of the dollar’s depreciation will continue. The trend of the dollar’s depreciation is due to expectations of a slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes by the US Fed. Last week’s slowdown in US consumer price […]
EURJPY sell entry at 144.61.(5mins late)
This post is 5 mins late. Real time signal is here ↓ VIP SIGNAL It’s Tokyo time, but from reports of Russian-made missiles landing in Poland, EURJPY sell entry at 144.61. stop is 145.43