Technical Analysis – July 1, 2026
Market Overview
Today’s technical picture continues to be dominated by broad U.S. dollar strength. Major dollar pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD remain under pressure, while risk assets are showing mixed performance.
The primary market leader remains USD/JPY, now trading at 162.71, with Strong Buy signals across every timeframe, confirming that the U.S. dollar uptrend and Japanese yen weakness remain firmly intact.
USD/CHF also maintains Strong Buy signals across all timeframes, highlighting the continued strength of the U.S. dollar.
Meanwhile, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD continue to generate sell signals from short-term charts through the daily timeframe, reinforcing the broader dollar-buying trend.
In commodities, Gold and Silver are experiencing short-term rebounds, but both remain firmly bearish on the daily charts, suggesting these moves are corrective rather than the beginning of new uptrends. Bitcoin and Crude Oil also remain under sustained selling pressure.
Equity markets are undergoing short-term consolidation, but U.S. stock indices continue to generate buy signals on the hourly and daily charts, indicating that their medium- and long-term uptrends remain intact.
Currency Markets
U.S. Dollar (USD)
The U.S. dollar remains the strongest currency in the market.
In particular:
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
continue to generate Strong Buy signals across all timeframes, leading overall market performance.
The broader dollar rally remains firmly in place.
USD/JPY (162.71)
- 5-minute: Strong Buy
- 15-minute: Strong Buy
- Hourly: Strong Buy
- Daily: Strong Buy
Bullish momentum remains intact across every timeframe.
Buying on pullbacks continues to be the preferred strategy.
However, with USD/JPY trading in the upper 162.00s, traders should remain alert to the increasing possibility of intervention by Japanese authorities.
USD/CHF
USD/CHF also maintains Strong Buy signals across all timeframes.
It remains one of the currency pairs benefiting the most from the current U.S. dollar rally.
Euro
EUR/USD
Strong Sell across all timeframes
The U.S. dollar continues to dominate both the short- and medium-term outlook.
Selling into rallies remains the preferred strategy.
EUR/JPY
- Short-term: Strong Sell
- Daily: Strong Buy
Although the broader yen weakness supports the pair, short-term charts suggest a corrective pullback is underway.
British Pound
GBP/USD
Short-term charts remain firmly bearish.
The daily trend also favors the downside.
Sterling continues to struggle against the strong U.S. dollar.
GBP/JPY
Although experiencing a short-term correction, the daily chart continues to generate a Strong Buy signal.
Among the yen crosses, GBP/JPY remains relatively resilient.
Australian & New Zealand Dollars
AUD/USD
Strong Sell across all timeframes
Selling pressure continues to weigh heavily on commodity-linked currencies.
NZD/USD
- Hourly: Neutral
- Daily: Strong Sell
The broader trend still favors selling into rallies.
Yen Crosses
Relatively Strong
- GBP/JPY
- EUR/JPY
Slightly Weaker
- AUD/JPY
- NZD/JPY
- CAD/JPY
While the strength of USD/JPY continues to support the broader yen-cross complex, short-term corrections have become increasingly common.
Gold
$4,035
- Short-term: Buy
- Hourly: Buy
- Daily: Strong Sell
The short-term recovery continues, but the primary daily trend remains bearish.
Silver
- Short-term: Buy
- Daily: Strong Sell
Like Gold, the recent strength appears to be a corrective rebound within a broader downtrend.
Bitcoin
$58,483
Strong Sell across all timeframes
Bitcoin remains the weakest asset in today’s analysis.
Crude Oil
WTI: $68.88
Strong Sell signals remain in place on both the hourly and daily charts.
The broader downtrend continues.
Natural Gas
- Daily: Buy
- Hourly: Strong Sell
Momentum remains mixed, producing an uncertain short-term outlook.
Equity Markets
U.S. Stocks
Dow Jones
- Short-term: Consolidation
- Hourly & Daily: Buy
S&P 500
- Strong Buy on both the hourly and daily charts
The broader uptrend remains intact.
NASDAQ 100
- Strong Buy on both the hourly and daily charts
AI-related technology stocks continue to provide strong support.
European Stocks
DAX
- Short-term: Sell
- Daily: Strong Buy
FTSE 100
- Short-term: Weak
- Daily: Buy
CAC 40
- Short-term: Sell
- Medium-term: Neutral
Nikkei 225
Both the hourly and daily charts remain bullish.
Like U.S. equities, the Nikkei continues to maintain its broader uptrend.
Strength Rankings
S Rank (Strongest)
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- EUR/JPY
A Rank (Strong)
- GBP/JPY
- S&P 500
- NASDAQ 100
- Gold (Short-term)
- Silver (Short-term)
B Rank (Moderately Strong)
- Nikkei 225
- DAX
- AUD/JPY
- NZD/JPY
Weakness Rankings
S Rank (Weakest)
- BTC/USD
- EUR/USD
- AUD/USD
- WTI Crude Oil
A Rank (Weak)
- GBP/USD
- NZD/USD
- EUR/GBP
- CAC 40 (Short-term)
- FTSE 100 (Short-term)
B Rank (Moderately Weak)
- Natural Gas (Hourly)
- AUD/NZD
- Gold (Daily)
- Silver (Daily)
Current Market Themes
Strong Assets
- U.S. Dollar
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- U.S. Equities
- Yen Crosses (Daily Trend)
Weak Assets
- Euro
- British Pound
- Australian Dollar
- Bitcoin
- Crude Oil
Trading Strategy
Bullish Bias
- Buy USD/JPY on pullbacks
- Buy USD/CHF on pullbacks
- Buy the S&P 500 on pullbacks
- Buy the NASDAQ 100 on pullbacks
- Buy GBP/JPY on pullbacks
Bearish Bias
- Sell EUR/USD on rallies
- Sell GBP/USD on rallies
- Sell AUD/USD on rallies
- Sell BTC/USD on rallies
- Sell WTI Crude Oil on rallies
Summary
The U.S. dollar continues to dominate global markets.
Both USD/JPY and USD/CHF maintain Strong Buy signals across all timeframes, confirming that dollar strength remains the primary market theme.
Meanwhile, major dollar pairs such as EUR/USD and AUD/USD remain broadly bearish, while Bitcoin and Crude Oil continue to trade within established downtrends.
Although equity markets are experiencing short-term consolidation, their medium- and long-term bullish structures remain intact.
Overall, the clearest market theme at present remains:
Strong U.S. Dollar • Rising Equity Markets • Weak Commodities • Weak Cryptocurrencies.
