Technical Analysis – May 4, 2026

Technical Analysis – May 4, 2026


■ Overview

This market is very clear:

“Oil strongest, Gold/Silver weakest, Yen strength continues, BTC strong on daily but correcting short-term”


■ Market Leaders

1. WTI Crude Oil

  • Strong buy across all timeframes
  • Top-performing asset in the market

2. AUD/NZD

  • Strong buy across all timeframes
  • Clear AUD dominance

3. DAX

  • Consistent strong buy
  • Cleanest trend among equity indices

4. USD/JPY (Short Bias)

  • Short-term rebound possible
  • Daily timeframe remains strongly bearish

Yen strength pressure continues


■ Weak Assets

Gold & Silver

  • Gold / Silver
  • XAU/USD, XAG/USD all weak
  • Silver particularly shows strong downside clarity

Cross Yen Pairs

  • EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, CHF/JPY, NZD/JPY
    → Bearish bias

Yen strength trend continues


CAC 40

  • Overall weak
  • Clear divergence vs DAX

■ Overall Ranking

S Rank

  1. WTI Crude Oil
  2. AUD/NZD
  3. DAX
  4. EUR/CHF (short-term long)
  5. USD/JPY (short)
  6. NZD/JPY (short)

A Rank

  1. BTC/USD (wait for dip)
  2. S&P 500 (buy dips)
  3. NASDAQ 100 (buy dips)
  4. CAD/JPY (short-term long)
  5. GBP/USD (daily long)

C Rank

  1. XAU/USD
  2. XAG/USD
  3. Gold
  4. Silver
  5. EUR/JPY
  6. GBP/JPY
  7. CHF/JPY
  8. CAC40
  9. Nikkei 225 (short-term weak)

■ Trading Strategy

Buy Candidates

  • WTI Crude Oil
  • AUD/NZD
  • DAX
  • EUR/CHF (short-term)
  • CAD/JPY (short-term)

Sell Candidates

  • Gold
  • Silver
  • XAU/USD
  • XAG/USD
  • NZD/JPY
  • CHF/JPY
  • CAC40

■ BTC

  • Daily: Strong bullish
  • 15min: Strong bearish

Wait for pullback confirmation before entry
→ Avoid chasing


■ Final Conclusion

This is a:

“Buy oil, sell gold/silver” market

In FX:

  • Yen strength likely to continue
  • Cross yen pairs → sell rallies

In equities:

  • DAX strong
  • US indices → buy dips
  • Nikkei & CAC → weak short-term

Clarity is high. Execution discipline is everything.

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