π Technical Analysis β March 18, 2026
π Current Market Condition
π The market has fully shifted into a risk-on environment (short to medium term)
π₯ Situation Summary
-
Yen crosses: Strong uptrend across the board
-
Oil: Continuing higher
-
Equities: Rebound with selective strength
-
USD: Slightly weakening
-
Precious metals: Breaking down
-
BTC: Pullback (bullish bias intact)
π§ Macro Structure
β
JPY selling
β
Yen crosses rise
β
Commodities (Oil) rise
π± FX Core View
β EUR/USD & GBP/USD
-
Short-term: Strong Buy
-
Daily: Sell
π Rebound phase (trend reversal not yet confirmed)
β USD/JPY
π Clear uptrend (Buy trend confirmed)
β Yen Crosses (Most Important)
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | π₯ Strong Buy |
| GBP/JPY | π₯ Strong Buy |
| CHF/JPY | π₯ Strong Buy |
| AUD/JPY | Medium-term Buy |
π These are now the main drivers of the market
π’ Oil
-
All timeframes: Buy
β‘ Trend continuation
π₯ Precious Metals
| Asset | Status |
|---|---|
| GOLD | β Strong Sell |
| SILVER | β Strong Sell |
π Capital outflow continues
πͺ BTC
-
Short-term: Sell
-
Daily: Buy
π Pullback within a bullish structure
π Equities
| Index | Status |
|---|---|
| NASDAQ | Strong (short-term) |
| Nikkei | π₯ Strong Buy |
| Dow / S&P | Still weak |
π Divergent structure = early transition phase
π Currency Strength
Strong
1οΈβ£ JPY (being sold β weakening / yen depreciation)
2οΈβ£ EUR (short-term recovery)
3οΈβ£ GBP
Weak
1οΈβ£ USD
2οΈβ£ Precious-metal-linked flows
3οΈβ£ NZD
π Best Short Opportunities
1οΈβ£ GOLD (XAU/USD) π₯ strongest
2οΈβ£ SILVER (XAG/USD)
3οΈβ£ NZD/USD
4οΈβ£ EUR/GBP
5οΈβ£ Natural Gas
π Best Long Opportunities
1οΈβ£ EUR/JPY π₯ strongest trend
2οΈβ£ GBP/JPY
3οΈβ£ USD/JPY
4οΈβ£ Crude Oil (WTI)
5οΈβ£ NASDAQ (short-term)
π― Trading Strategy (Important)
β Main Strategy
π Long Yen Crosses (Top Priority)
β Secondary
π Long Oil
β Position Building
π Buy BTC on dips
β Avoid (for now)
π Gold longs (too early)
π One-Line Summary
π βYen selling + commodity strength = full risk-on transition.β


