πŸ“Š Technical Analysis – February 16, 2026

πŸ“Š Technical Analysis – February 16, 2026

Conclusion

β€œThe dollar is rebounding short-term, but daily charts remain structurally divided.
Cross-yen pairs lean downward, while NZD stands out among commodity currencies.”

This is not a clean one-directional trend market.
It is a fragmented environment requiring selective positioning.


πŸ’± Dollar Pairs

πŸ”Ή EUR/USD (1.1862)

  • Short-term: Strong Sell

  • Daily: Buy

πŸ‘‰ A deeper pullback within a broader uptrend.
Short-term structure is clearly corrective.


πŸ”Ή GBP/USD (1.3648)

  • Overall: Neutral

πŸ‘‰ No clear directional edge.
Currently not a leading pair.


πŸ”Ή AUD/USD (0.7082)

  • Short-term: Sell

  • Daily: Strong Buy

πŸ‘‰ Pullback phase within a bullish structure.


πŸ”Ή NZD/USD (0.6043)

  • All timeframes: Strong Buy

πŸ‘‰ Cleanest structure in the market right now.
NZD is the standout currency.


πŸ”» USD/JPY (153.37)

  • Short-term: Sell

  • Daily: Strong Sell

πŸ‘‰ Downtrend intact.
Yen strength continues to dominate.


πŸ”» USD/CHF (0.7700)

  • Short-term: Buy

  • Daily: Sell

πŸ‘‰ Dollar’s short-term rebound is most visible here.
Higher timeframe weakness still present.


πŸ” Cross-Yen Pairs

Overall bias: Heavy on rallies

Pair Status
EUR/JPY Daily Sell
GBP/JPY Daily Sell
CAD/JPY Strong Daily Sell
CHF/JPY Weak
AUD/JPY Neutral
NZD/JPY Neutral

πŸ‘‰ Cross-yen pairs show limited upside momentum.


πŸ₯‡ Gold (5,003)

  • Daily: Strong Buy

  • Short-term: Neutral

πŸ‘‰ Uptrend intact, but momentum has paused.
Currently consolidating near highs.


πŸ₯ˆ Silver (77.15)

  • Daily: Strong Sell

  • Short-term: Buy

πŸ‘‰ Short-term rebound within a weak broader structure.


🧊 BTC (68,945)

  • Short-term: Buy

  • Daily: Strong Sell

πŸ‘‰ Classic rebound within a larger downtrend.
Structure remains bearish.


🌏 Relative Strength Overview

πŸ”Ί Stronger Assets

  • NZD

  • Gold (higher timeframe)

  • AUD (medium-term)

πŸ”» Weaker Assets

  • CAD (especially in cross-yen)

  • EUR (short-term)

  • BTC (structurally)


🎯 Strategy Focus

🟒 Long Candidates

  • NZD/USD

  • XAU/USD (on dips)

  • AUD/USD (after correction completes)

πŸ”΄ Rally-Sell Candidates

  • EUR/JPY

  • GBP/JPY

  • CAD/JPY


πŸ“ One-Line Summary

β€œThis is not a broad dollar trend.
The market is divided.
It’s a selective environment β€” NZD and Gold remain the core plays.”

This is not a market to trade everything.
It’s a market to trade only the strongest structures.

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