π Technical Analysis β February 16, 2026
Conclusion
βThe dollar is rebounding short-term, but daily charts remain structurally divided.
Cross-yen pairs lean downward, while NZD stands out among commodity currencies.β
This is not a clean one-directional trend market.
It is a fragmented environment requiring selective positioning.
π± Dollar Pairs
πΉ EUR/USD (1.1862)
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Short-term: Strong Sell
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Daily: Buy
π A deeper pullback within a broader uptrend.
Short-term structure is clearly corrective.
πΉ GBP/USD (1.3648)
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Overall: Neutral
π No clear directional edge.
Currently not a leading pair.
πΉ AUD/USD (0.7082)
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Short-term: Sell
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Daily: Strong Buy
π Pullback phase within a bullish structure.
πΉ NZD/USD (0.6043)
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All timeframes: Strong Buy
π Cleanest structure in the market right now.
NZD is the standout currency.
π» USD/JPY (153.37)
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Short-term: Sell
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Daily: Strong Sell
π Downtrend intact.
Yen strength continues to dominate.
π» USD/CHF (0.7700)
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Short-term: Buy
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Daily: Sell
π Dollarβs short-term rebound is most visible here.
Higher timeframe weakness still present.
π Cross-Yen Pairs
Overall bias: Heavy on rallies
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | Daily Sell |
| GBP/JPY | Daily Sell |
| CAD/JPY | Strong Daily Sell |
| CHF/JPY | Weak |
| AUD/JPY | Neutral |
| NZD/JPY | Neutral |
π Cross-yen pairs show limited upside momentum.
π₯ Gold (5,003)
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Daily: Strong Buy
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Short-term: Neutral
π Uptrend intact, but momentum has paused.
Currently consolidating near highs.
π₯ Silver (77.15)
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Daily: Strong Sell
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Short-term: Buy
π Short-term rebound within a weak broader structure.
π§ BTC (68,945)
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Short-term: Buy
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Daily: Strong Sell
π Classic rebound within a larger downtrend.
Structure remains bearish.
π Relative Strength Overview
πΊ Stronger Assets
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NZD
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Gold (higher timeframe)
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AUD (medium-term)
π» Weaker Assets
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CAD (especially in cross-yen)
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EUR (short-term)
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BTC (structurally)
π― Strategy Focus
π’ Long Candidates
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NZD/USD
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XAU/USD (on dips)
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AUD/USD (after correction completes)
π΄ Rally-Sell Candidates
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EUR/JPY
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GBP/JPY
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CAD/JPY
π One-Line Summary
βThis is not a broad dollar trend.
The market is divided.
Itβs a selective environment β NZD and Gold remain the core plays.β
This is not a market to trade everything.
Itβs a market to trade only the strongest structures.


