๐ Technical Analysis โ February 16, 2026
Conclusion
โThe dollar is rebounding short-term, but daily charts remain structurally divided.
Cross-yen pairs lean downward, while NZD stands out among commodity currencies.โ
This is not a clean one-directional trend market.
It is a fragmented environment requiring selective positioning.
๐ฑ Dollar Pairs
๐น EUR/USD (1.1862)
-
Short-term: Strong Sell
-
Daily: Buy
๐ A deeper pullback within a broader uptrend.
Short-term structure is clearly corrective.
๐น GBP/USD (1.3648)
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Overall: Neutral
๐ No clear directional edge.
Currently not a leading pair.
๐น AUD/USD (0.7082)
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Short-term: Sell
-
Daily: Strong Buy
๐ Pullback phase within a bullish structure.
๐น NZD/USD (0.6043)
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All timeframes: Strong Buy
๐ Cleanest structure in the market right now.
NZD is the standout currency.
๐ป USD/JPY (153.37)
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Short-term: Sell
-
Daily: Strong Sell
๐ Downtrend intact.
Yen strength continues to dominate.
๐ป USD/CHF (0.7700)
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Short-term: Buy
-
Daily: Sell
๐ Dollarโs short-term rebound is most visible here.
Higher timeframe weakness still present.
๐ Cross-Yen Pairs
Overall bias: Heavy on rallies
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | Daily Sell |
| GBP/JPY | Daily Sell |
| CAD/JPY | Strong Daily Sell |
| CHF/JPY | Weak |
| AUD/JPY | Neutral |
| NZD/JPY | Neutral |
๐ Cross-yen pairs show limited upside momentum.
๐ฅ Gold (5,003)
-
Daily: Strong Buy
-
Short-term: Neutral
๐ Uptrend intact, but momentum has paused.
Currently consolidating near highs.
๐ฅ Silver (77.15)
-
Daily: Strong Sell
-
Short-term: Buy
๐ Short-term rebound within a weak broader structure.
๐ง BTC (68,945)
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Short-term: Buy
-
Daily: Strong Sell
๐ Classic rebound within a larger downtrend.
Structure remains bearish.
๐ Relative Strength Overview
๐บ Stronger Assets
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NZD
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Gold (higher timeframe)
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AUD (medium-term)
๐ป Weaker Assets
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CAD (especially in cross-yen)
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EUR (short-term)
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BTC (structurally)
๐ฏ Strategy Focus
๐ข Long Candidates
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NZD/USD
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XAU/USD (on dips)
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AUD/USD (after correction completes)
๐ด Rally-Sell Candidates
-
EUR/JPY
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GBP/JPY
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CAD/JPY
๐ One-Line Summary
โThis is not a broad dollar trend.
The market is divided.
Itโs a selective environment โ NZD and Gold remain the core plays.โ
This is not a market to trade everything.
Itโs a market to trade only the strongest structures.
