๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis โ€“ January 19, 2026

๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis โ€“ January 19, 2026

โ€” โ€œThe dollar pauses, while Yen crosses and Gold return to center stageโ€


๐Ÿ’ฑ Multi-Timeframe Summary (Key Updates)

๐Ÿ”น Dollar Majors

Pair Short Term (5โ€“15m) 1 Hour Daily Key Point
EUR/USD ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy ๐ŸŸฅ Strong Sell Short-term rebound, but daily downtrend remains
GBP/USD ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy โšช๏ธ Neutral Pound stronger than euro, rebound is clearer
AUD/USD ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy Aussie remains in a full bullish trend

๐Ÿ‘‰ The dollar is being sold temporarily, and dollar majors have shifted into a โ€œshort-term rebound phase.โ€
However, EUR/USD is still firmly in a daily downtrend, so this is not a trend reversal, only a corrective rebound.


๐Ÿ”น USD/JPY & Dollar Crosses

Pair Short Term Daily Assessment
USD/JPY ๐ŸŸฅ Strong Sell ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy โš ๏ธ Forming a pullback
USD/CAD ๐ŸŸฅ Strong Sell ๐ŸŸฉ Strong Buy โš ๏ธ High-level consolidation
USD/CHF ๐ŸŸฅ Strong Sell โšช๏ธ Neutral โš ๏ธ Dollar momentum fading
USD/NZD ๐ŸŸฅ Strong Sell ๐ŸŸฅ Strong Sell โŒ Full dollar-sell structure

๐Ÿ‘‰ The previous โ€œbroad dollar strengthโ€ structure has temporarily broken.
Dollar crosses are now entering a short-term profit-taking phase.


๐Ÿ”น Yen Crosses (Clear Shift Back to Center Stage)

Pair Short Term Daily Comment
EUR/JPY ๐ŸŸฅ โšช๏ธ Direction temporarily lost
GBP/JPY ๐ŸŸฉ ๐ŸŸฉ โญ Back as a main candidate
AUD/JPY ๐ŸŸฉ ๐ŸŸฉ โญ Trend continuation
CHF/JPY ๐ŸŸฉ ๐ŸŸฉ โญ Stable trend
NZD/JPY ๐ŸŸฉ ๐ŸŸฉ โญ Sustained upside

๐Ÿ‘‰ The โ€œweak yen trendโ€ remains intact,
but yen crosses are now showing cleaner strength than USD/JPY itself.


๐Ÿ”น Gold & Bitcoin

Asset Assessment
XAU/USD (Gold) ๐ŸŸฉ Strong buy on both daily and hourly, acceleration phase
BTC/USD ๐ŸŸฅ Short-term correction, momentum temporarily slowing

๐Ÿ‘‰ Gold has broken above the 4,660 zone and entered a different league.
BTC is seeing profit-taking at high levels and is taking a โ€œshort rest.โ€


๐Ÿงญ Updated Big Picture

๐Ÿ”บ Gold
๐Ÿ”บ Yen Crosses
๐Ÿ” Dollar (in correction)
๐Ÿ” BTC (high-level consolidation)
๐Ÿ”ป EUR/USD (mid-term bearish)

๏ผ โ€œGold ร— Yen Crosses lead, the dollar steps aside.โ€


๐ŸŽฏ Trading Strategy (Latest)

๐ŸŸฉ Priority Longs

  • XAU/USD (Gold)

  • AUD/JPY, GBP/JPY, CHF/JPY, NZD/JPY

  • AUD/USD (trend continuation)

โš ๏ธ Buy Only on Pullbacks

  • EUR/USD (short-term rebound, daily still bearish)

  • GBP/USD (short-term longs only, no chasing)

๐ŸŸฅ Sell on Rallies

  • USD/NZD

  • EUR/AUD

  • EUR/GBP


๐Ÿ“ One-Line Summary

โ€œThe dollar is pausing. The real leaders are once again Gold and Yen crosses.
The euro remains vulnerable even on rebounds,
and for now, Yen crosses and Gold are the safer battlefield than dollar majors.โ€

More Insights

๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Middle East Conflict Stalemate โ€” Markets Lose Direction / U.S. Jobs Report Tonight ๐ŸŒ Market Theme โ€œWar ร— Inflation ร— Uncertaintyโ€ Tensions in the Middle East remain high. Both sides โ€” the United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the other โ€” continue to signal their willingness to prolong the conflict, with no clear signs of resolution. The situation has effectively entered a phase of strategic stalemate, where each side is testing the other’s endurance. ๐Ÿ›ข Oil as the Key Barometer To gauge the market impact of the Middle East crisis, crude oil futures have become the most important indicator. Key concerns include: Risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz Potential disruptions to global oil supply Rising inflationary pressure However: The panic selling in equities has somewhat eased The FX market currently lacks strong directional momentum ๐Ÿ’ฑ FX Market Basic structure Geopolitical crisis โ†’ USD buying But at the moment: Position adjustments Headline-driven reactions Interest rate expectations are all interacting. As a result, the market is trading in a nervous range-bound environment, with no decisive catalyst for a sustained USD rally. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump Administration Developments Policies from President Donald Trump are also attracting market attention. Higher oil prices could lead to: Stronger inflation pressure Rising political dissatisfaction ahead of midterm elections According to reports, the administration is considering measures such as: Restrictions on Russian oil exports Intervention in oil futures markets ๐Ÿ‘‰ These steps may indicate efforts to find an exit path from the conflict. Meanwhile, reports suggest that Iran may also be experiencing depletion of missiles and weapon systems. ๐Ÿ“Š Tonightโ€™s Major Event ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Employment Report (Nonfarm Payrolls) Market expectations: Indicator Forecast Previous Nonfarm Payrolls +55K +130K Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% Released simultaneously: U.S. Retail Sales Indicator Forecast Month-over-month -0.3% Ex-auto 0.0% ๐Ÿ‘‰ The key focus will be deviation from expectations. However: The approaching weekend Ongoing war-related headlines may limit the durability of any market reaction. ๐Ÿ“Š Other Economic Data Eurozone Final GDP U.S. Business Inventories Canada Ivey PMI Brazil Industrial Production ๐ŸŽ™ Central Bank Events Scheduled speakers include: Mary Daly Jeffrey Schmid Susan Collins Piero Cipollone Isabel Schnabel Additionally, a global central bank conference will discuss: โ€œThe U.S. dollarโ€™s role as a safe-haven asset.โ€ ๐Ÿ“ˆ New Market Theme: Rate Hike Expectations The chain reaction: Middle East conflict โ†’ Higher oil prices โ†’ Rising inflation is bringing back interest rate hike expectations. European short-term rate market ECB rate hike probabilities: Year-end: 80% July: 50% Bank of Japan April hike probability: 50% (according to former BOJ board member Maeda) However, markets may increasingly focus on recession risks rather than rate differentials. ๐Ÿงญ Summary The current market is dominated by war-related headlines. Key drivers: Oil prices Geopolitical developments U.S. employment data At the same time: Panic selling in equities has eased FX markets have lost clear direction For now, the environment can be summarized as: โ€œMarkets move on war headlines and adjust on economic data.โ€ This dynamic is likely to continue in the near term.

๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Middle East Conflict Stalemate โ€” Markets Lose Direction / U.S. Jobs Report Tonight ๐ŸŒ Market Theme โ€œWar ร— Inflation ร— Uncertaintyโ€ Tensions in the

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