πŸ“Š November 4, 2025|Major Currencies, Gold & BTC Technical Overview

πŸ“Š November 4, 2025|Major Currencies, Gold & BTC Technical Overview


🟩πŸŸ₯βšͺ Color Legend

🟩 = Bullish (Uptrend)
πŸŸ₯ = Bearish (Downtrend)
βšͺ = Neutral (Range / Sideways)


πŸ’± Multi-Timeframe Summary

Pair 5-min 15-min 1-hour Daily
EUR/USD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell
USD/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/USD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell
AUD/USD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell
USD/CAD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/CHF βšͺ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/NZD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell βšͺ Neutral
GBP/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Sell
AUD/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CAD/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CHF/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell βšͺ Neutral
XAU/USD (Gold) πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell βšͺ Sell
NZD/JPY πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell
EUR/GBP 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/AUD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy πŸŸ₯ Sell
NZD/CAD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell
BTC/USD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell

βš™οΈ Trend Overview

πŸ’΅ USD: Unquestioned Dominance Continues

USD/CAD (1.4073) / USD/NZD (1.7661) / USD/CHF (0.8082)
β†’ Strong buy across all timeframes.
β†’ Ongoing Fed hawkish stance reinforces broad USD strength.
β†’ CAD, NZD, and CHF remain weak in parallel.
β†’ Dollar Index stays near year-to-date highs.

USD/JPY (153.33)
β†’ Short-term selling pressure, but daily chart remains bullish.
β†’ Verbal intervention from MOF/BOJ caused temporary correction,
 but the underlying yen-weak structure remains intact.
β†’ A return above Β₯154 could reopen upside toward renewed carry trade expansion.


πŸ’Ά European Currencies: Euro and Pound Under Pressure

EUR/USD (1.1508)
β†’ Strong sell across all intraday timeframes.
β†’ Persistent ECB rate-cut expectations push the pair toward a break below 1.15.
β†’ Next downside zone: 1.1450–1.1400.

GBP/USD (1.3065)
β†’ Firmly bearish tone.
β†’ BOE easing bias and growth slowdown continue to weigh,
 favoring a β€œsell-on-rallies” strategy.

EUR/GBP (0.8808)
β†’ Strong buy on all timeframes.
β†’ Even amid euro weakness, the pound’s underperformance stands out.


πŸ’΄ Cross-Yen: Broad Correction Toward Yen Strength

EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, CAD/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY
β†’ All showing strong short-term selling.
β†’ Reflects partial position unwinds and yen short covering amid dollar consolidation.
β†’ However, most daily charts remain bullish or neutral,
 indicating the long-term yen-weak trend is not yet broken.


πŸ’° Gold (XAU/USD): Ongoing Correction β€” $4,000 Level in Focus

XAU/USD (US$3,988)
β†’ Strong short-term selling persists.
β†’ Rising U.S. yields strengthen the dollar and cap gold’s upside.
β†’ A break below $4,000 opens the next support near $3,960.


πŸͺ™ BTC/USD: Risk-Off Selling Accelerates β€” Breaks Psychological Support

BTC/USD (US$103,930)
β†’ Strong sell across all timeframes.
β†’ Capital continues to rotate out of crypto into dollar assets.
β†’ Key support now seen at $102,000–$100,000.


πŸ’Ž Trend Strength Ranking

Rank Pair Bias Comment
1️⃣ USD/NZD 🟩 Strong Buy Strongest USD pair β€” bullish across all timeframes.
2️⃣ USD/CAD 🟩 Strong Buy Oil weakness weighs on CAD.
3️⃣ USD/CHF 🟩 Strong Buy Parallel USD strength and CHF weakness.
4️⃣ EUR/USD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell ECB rate-cut bets hit the euro.
5️⃣ GBP/USD πŸŸ₯ Strong Sell BOE dovish turn adds selling pressure.

⚠️ Weak / Caution Pairs

Pair Reason
EUR/USD Persistent technical and fundamental downtrend.
GBP/USD Rate-cut speculation; rallies likely capped.
BTC/USD Risk-off sentiment deepens; downside bias intact.
AUD/USD Slower growth data and commodity correction weigh.

🧭 Market Summary

FX markets feature the β€œTriple Theme”:
Strong Dollar β€” Weak Europe β€” Temporary Yen Rebound.

With the Fed’s hawkish tone intact, USD buying remains unstoppable,
while ECB, BOE, and RBA dovish pivots highlight the policy divergence.

πŸ’¬ Market Dynamics: A global wave of capital rotation back into USD assets.
Major currencies remain pressured under dollar dominance,
while yen strength in crosses appears limited and corrective.
Gold and BTC continue to struggle under a strong-dollar regime.


πŸ“Œ Trade Strategy Summary

Style Pairs Strategy
Short-Term USD/CHF Β· USD/CAD Β· USD/NZD Buy on dips (maintain USD long bias)
Medium-Term EUR/USD Β· GBP/USD Β· AUD/USD Sell on rallies (resistance near 1.16 / 1.31 / 0.66)
Long-Term USD/JPY Hold longs β€” upside resumes above Β₯154
Supplemental XAU/USD Β· BTC/USD Favor selling rebounds (downtrend intact)

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