📊 Technical Analysis – July 3, 2026
Market Overview
Risk appetite has continued to improve, with capital flowing back into equities, gold, and Bitcoin.
U.S. equities are leading the rally, with both the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 showing strong buy signals across all major timeframes.
In the currency market, the broad U.S. dollar rally has eased. Major dollar pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD have shifted into short-term uptrends through the hourly timeframe.
Among the yen crosses, performance remains mixed. GBP/JPY continues to outperform, while CAD/JPY and CHF/JPY remain relatively weak.
In commodities, gold is the strongest performer, while crude oil continues to trade within a clear bearish trend.
Currency Markets
U.S. Dollar (USD)
- USD/JPY has lost short-term momentum and is now trading in a neutral range.
- USD/CHF remains supported on shorter timeframes, although momentum has begun to slow.
- The broad-based U.S. dollar rally has moderated.
Euro (EUR)
- EUR/USD has generated strong buy signals through the hourly timeframe.
- EUR/JPY is also bullish on the short-term charts, although the daily trend remains bearish.
British Pound (GBP)
- GBP/USD is bullish across all major timeframes.
- GBP/JPY also shows buy signals across every timeframe, making it one of the strongest yen crosses.
Australian & New Zealand Dollars
- AUD/USD remains bullish through the hourly timeframe.
- NZD/USD is positive only on the hourly chart, while the daily trend remains weak.
- AUD/JPY is experiencing a short-term rebound, but the daily trend remains bearish.
Commodity Markets
Gold
- Strong buy signals extend from the short-term through the hourly charts.
- The daily trend has improved to neutral.
- Gold is currently the strongest commodity in the market.
Silver
- The hourly trend remains bullish, although short-term momentum has softened.
- Silver continues to underperform gold.
Crude Oil (WTI)
- Both the hourly and daily charts remain bearish.
- Although occasional rebounds occur, the broader downtrend remains intact.
Natural Gas
- Both the hourly and daily charts remain bullish.
- It continues to significantly outperform crude oil within the energy sector.
Bitcoin
- Strong buy signals are present from the short-term through the hourly timeframe.
- The daily trend has improved to neutral as Bitcoin benefits from improving market risk sentiment.
Equity Markets
U.S. Equities
- The Dow Jones shows strong buy signals across all major timeframes.
- The S&P 500 continues to maintain a very strong uptrend.
- The NASDAQ 100 still shows some weakness on the hourly chart, although overall conditions have improved significantly.
European Equities
- Both the DAX and CAC 40 continue to post strong buy signals.
- The FTSE 100 also maintains a strong bullish trend on the daily timeframe.
Japanese Equities
- The Nikkei 225 is showing strong buy signals across all major timeframes.
- It continues to participate in the global equity rally.
Strength Rankings
S-Rank
- Dow Jones
- S&P 500
- DAX
- CAC 40
- Gold
A-Rank
- Nikkei 225
- GBP/USD
- GBP/JPY
- EUR/USD
- Bitcoin
- Natural Gas
B-Rank
- EUR/JPY
- AUD/USD
- AUD/JPY
- USD/CHF
Weakness Rankings
S-Rank
- WTI Crude Oil
- CAD/JPY
- CHF/JPY
A-Rank
- NZD/USD (Daily)
- NZD/JPY
- Silver (Short-Term)
B-Rank
- USD/JPY (Neutral Momentum)
- NASDAQ 100 (Hourly)
- FTSE 100 (Short-Term)
Current Market Themes
- Global equities have resumed leadership.
- The U.S. dollar rally has paused, allowing major currencies to recover.
- Capital is flowing back into gold and Bitcoin.
- Crude oil remains the weakest major asset class.
- Among the yen crosses, GBP/JPY continues to outperform, while commodity-linked currencies remain under pressure.
Trading Outlook
Bullish Bias
- Buy pullbacks in the Dow Jones, S&P 500, DAX, and CAC 40.
- Continue buying pullbacks in Gold.
- Favor buying pullbacks in GBP/USD and EUR/USD.
Bearish Bias
- Continue selling rallies in WTI Crude Oil.
- Favor selling rallies in CAD/JPY and CHF/JPY.
Summary
The market has shifted into a more pronounced risk-on environment, characterized by rising equity markets, stronger gold prices, and renewed strength in Bitcoin.
The U.S. dollar rally has eased, allowing the euro, pound, and Australian dollar to recover against the dollar.
Meanwhile, crude oil remains the notable exception, continuing to trade within a well-defined bearish trend.
At present, global equities and gold have emerged as the primary market leaders, while energy markets continue to lag behind.
