+117,464 USD | Markets Swung on Geopolitical Headlines… Profits Grew by Staying with the Trend, Not Fighting It
Trading Results (May 25 – May 29)
Weekly Total: +117,464 USD
Market Review This Week
The final week of May brought extremely fast reactions to breaking news, with price swings expanding sharply in short periods.
The main focus was GOLD and the U.S. dollar.
Gold rebounded strongly after pullbacks, while the dollar remained firm against major currencies.
The euro, meanwhile, continued to show weak recovery attempts.
Overall, it was a market where capital moved quickly into the strongest themes.
Core Trading Approach Going Forward
- Continue monitoring GOLD while confirming pullback formations
- Prioritize USD-related pairs when dollar strength is dominant
- For EUR/USD, confirm dollar momentum before entering
- Focus on markets showing clear expansion and momentum
- Closely monitor Middle East headlines and comments from key policymakers
One thing stood out again this week:
The importance of trading with the leading market theme.
Recently, a single Middle East headline has been enough to move GOLD, oil, and the dollar sharply.
Rather than trying to predict every move in advance, it was more effective to confirm where the market was actually moving and then follow that direction.
Avoid forcing counter-trend trades, stay flexible, and focus capital on the highest-probability themes.
FX Market Review | Final Week of May and Key Themes for the First Week of June
Market Overview
The U.S. dollar remained the central driver in FX.
Markets continued reacting to:
- Sticky U.S. inflation
- Expectations of additional Fed tightening
- U.S.–Iran negotiations
- Oil price volatility
- Ongoing yen weakness and intervention concerns
USD/JPY stayed elevated around 159, while currency strength and weakness became more clearly defined.
Review: May 25 – May 29
USD/JPY
Held mainly in the 159 range.
Highs extended into the upper 159s.
Supported by U.S. yields, while 160 remains a major intervention watch level.
EUR / GBP
Euro continued facing selling pressure on rebounds.
Pound remained range-bound with limited direction.
AUD / NZD
AUD maintained its recovery.
NZD remained the strongest currency overall.
South African Rand
Stayed relatively firm as oil prices stabilized.
Currency Strength
Strong: NZD / AUD / CHF / USD
Neutral: GBP
Weak: JPY / EUR / CAD
NZD led the market.
AUD continued improving.
CHF stayed supported as a safe haven.
USD remained firm.
EUR struggled to recover, while JPY stayed weak.
Outlook: June 1 – June 5
USD/JPY
The key event is Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls.
Main question:
Will signs of labor market slowing finally appear?
Also important:
- ISM Manufacturing
- JOLTS Job Openings
- ADP Employment
- ISM Services
Strong data could extend dollar buying.
Weak data could trigger a short-term correction.
Still, intervention risk near 160 and comments from BOJ Governor Ueda may create sharp volatility.
EUR/USD
Eurozone CPI and ECB developments remain key.
If the dollar stays strong, rallies may continue facing selling pressure.
GBP
Likely cautious ahead of BOE developments.
AUD
GDP will be important.
NZD
Still the strongest. Pullbacks remain shallow.
CAD
Waiting for employment data.
ZAR
Oil remains the biggest driver.
Middle East Developments
Negotiations are still moving toward an extended ceasefire.
However, no final resolution has been reached.
Main focus remains on:
- Strait of Hormuz shipping routes
- Regional security developments
- Nuclear negotiations
A formal agreement could support:
Lower oil → stronger risk appetite
A breakdown could trigger:
Higher oil → sharp volatility
This remains one of the biggest macro themes for markets.
Key Events This Week
Mon 6/1 – U.S. ISM Manufacturing
Tue 6/2 – JOLTS / Eurozone CPI
Wed 6/3 – Australia GDP / ADP / ISM Services / BOJ Governor Ueda
Thu 6/4 – ECB-related events
Fri 6/5 – U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls / Canada Employment
Summary
The market structure remains centered around the U.S. dollar, with NZD, AUD, and CHF showing relative strength.
Next week’s biggest themes:
- U.S. jobs data
- Final direction of Middle East negotiations
- USD/JPY around the 160 level
Because headlines can shift momentum quickly, price action matters more than opinions.
Stay focused on what the market is actually doing.
Follow strength.
Avoid chasing too aggressively.
Take quality opportunities carefully.
Closing Note: Building a Style You Can Sustain
In both trading and health,
the more we want results,
the easier it becomes to go to extremes.
- Wanting to recover losses quickly
- Wanting results immediately
- Wanting to change everything overnight
But extreme approaches rarely last.
Recently, intermittent fasting has gained attention in health research.
And experts consistently repeat one thing:
Don’t start too aggressively.
Instead of strict rules from day one,
start with 12 hours.
Adjust gradually.
Pay attention to sleep and how your body feels.
The goal is not finding
“the perfect method.”
It’s finding
what actually works for you.
Trading feels very similar.
Wanting to win can easily lead to:
- Increasing lot size too fast
- Taking too many entries
- Losing sleep watching markets
And eventually, the pressure builds.
Traders who stay profitable over the long run usually focus on:
- Position sizes they can manage comfortably
- Timeframes that fit their lifestyle
- Rules they can continue following
That balance matters.
Research also shows that
flexible consistency
often matters more than
perfect consistency.
A travel day is okay.
A busy week is okay.
Even if your rhythm slips,
you can return.
Trading is the same.
You don’t need a perfect day every day.
What matters is being able to reset and continue.
Next week as well,
instead of forcing the pace,
let’s continue building
a sustainable way to win—one trade at a time.
