π Technical Analysis β March 20, 2026
β Market Condition
π Risk-off trend continues, but a short-term rebound is underway
π₯ Situation Summary
-
Equities: Still broken on the daily timeframe
-
USD: Strength maintained
-
JPY: Temporarily weakening β yen crosses rebounding
-
Oil: Continuing higher
-
Gold: Weak (in a rebound phase)
-
BTC: Continued breakdown
π§ Macro Structure
β
Short-term: Rebound (risk-on-like)
β
Yen crosses rising
π± FX Core View
β EUR/USD
-
Short-term: Strong Buy
-
Daily: Strong Sell
π Sell-the-rally market (very important)
β GBP/USD
π Same structure: Sell rallies
β USD/JPY
-
Short-term: Buy
-
Medium-term: Unstable
π Lack of clear direction (correction phase)
π΄ Yen Crosses (Key Focus)
π The key theme right now
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| AUD/JPY | π₯ Strong Buy |
| CAD/JPY | Strong Buy |
| NZD/JPY | Rising |
| EUR/JPY | Neutral |
β‘ Short-term risk-on rebound
π’ Oil
-
All timeframes: Strong Buy
π Only consistent trend in the market
π₯ Precious Metals
| Asset | Status |
|---|---|
| GOLD | Rebounding (weak) |
| SILVER | Strong Sell |
π Sell bias remains dominant
πͺ BTC
π Sell across all timeframes
β‘ Continued weakness in risk assets
π Equities
-
Daily: Strong Sell
-
Short-term: Rebounding
π Sell-the-rally phase
π Currency Strength
Strong
1οΈβ£ USD
2οΈβ£ CAD
3οΈβ£ AUD
Weak
1οΈβ£ NZD
2οΈβ£ EUR
3οΈβ£ GBP
π Best Short Opportunities
1οΈβ£ SILVER (XAG/USD) π₯ strongest trend
2οΈβ£ BTC/USD
3οΈβ£ EUR/USD (sell rallies)
4οΈβ£ GBP/USD (sell rallies)
5οΈβ£ Equity indices (sell rallies)
π Best Long Opportunities
1οΈβ£ Crude Oil (WTI) π₯ strongest
2οΈβ£ AUD/JPY
3οΈβ£ CAD/JPY
4οΈβ£ NZD/JPY (short-term)
5οΈβ£ USD/JPY (short-term)
π― Trading Strategy (Important)
β Main Strategy
π Long Oil (Top Priority)
β Secondary
π Short-term longs in yen crosses
β Primary Setup
π Wait to sell rallies in dollar pairs
β οΈ Most Important Insight
π This is a βrebound marketβ
Which means:
-
Buying just because price is rising β β Dangerous
-
Selling after rallies β β Aligned with the main trend
π One-Line Summary
π βPrimary trend is risk-off β current move is a rebound.β


