💹 Dollar Gently Rebounds in a Quiet Holiday Market

💹 Dollar Gently Rebounds in a Quiet Holiday Market — With the U.S. shut for Thanksgiving, FX moves are dominated by position-adjustments. USD/JPY drifts lower with a heavy top. 【1】Thanksgiving Shuts Down U.S. Markets — Expect an Ultra-Quiet Session Today’s central theme is simple: U.S. markets are fully closed for Thanksgiving. Stocks and bonds are […]

💹 Dollar Selling Pressure Gradually Intensifies

💹 Dollar Selling Pressure Gradually Intensifies — A volatile day driven by soaring U.S. rate-cut expectations, renewed BoJ hawkish bets, and speculation surrounding the U.K. budget 【1】U.S.: Market Enters “Rate-Cut Front-Running Mode” A series of cautious comments from Fed officials pushedDecember rate-cut expectations to around 85% (CME basis) —a dramatic shift from last week’s 30% […]

✅ Rationale for EUR Buy & Oil Sell

✅ Rationale for EUR Buy & Oil Sell 🔵 1. Progress in Ukraine Peace Talks → Lower European Risk → EUR Buying Ukraine has agreed to the U.S.-proposed 19-point peace framework. U.S. and Russian officials reportedly held secret talks in Abu Dhabi,and U.S. officials are “optimistic” about a deal. As geopolitical risks in Europe decline— […]

📝 December FOMC Rate-Cut Expectations: “Dipped, Then Rebounded Slightly”

📝 December FOMC Rate-Cut Expectations: “Dipped, Then Rebounded Slightly” Because the September U.S. jobs report was delayed due to the government shutdown, its release showed a mixed picture: Nonfarm payrolls: +119k (vs. +51k expected) → strong Unemployment rate: 4.4% (vs. 4.3% expected) → unexpected rise Previous two months: revised down a total of -33k The […]

💹 Dollar Strength / Yen Weakness Remains Intact — Market Focus Turns to U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls

💹 Dollar Strength / Yen Weakness Remains Intact — Market Focus Turns to U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls ■ USD/JPY: Every Dip Bought, Pushing Toward the Upper 157s USD/JPY carried its overseas momentum into domestic trading,with persistent buying lifting the pair to 157.69. Intervention concerns remain in the background, but their effectiveness is fading: Japanese officials’ comments […]

Yen Selling Accelerates After the Meeting Between the Finance Minister and BOJ Governor

Yen Selling Accelerates After the Meeting Between the Finance Minister and BOJ Governor Why the Yen Continued to Weaken — Summary of Key Drivers The latest meeting between the Finance Minister and the BOJ Governor offered none of the yen-supportive signals the market was hoping for.Instead, it reaffirmed the existing policy framework that has allowed […]