💱 Focus on U.S. PCE Price Index — Inflation Outlook in the Spotlight

đź’± Focus on U.S. PCE Price Index — Inflation Outlook in the Spotlight Today marks the final trading day of August. The FX market remains directionless as conflicting factors weigh on sentiment. Dollar-negative factor: President Trump’s attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Cook revived doubts over the Fed’s independence, pressuring the dollar lower. Dollar-positive factor: U.S. […]
💱 U.S. GDP (Revised) — Market Overview Report (Aug 28–29)

đź’± U.S. GDP (Revised) — Market Overview Report (Aug 28–29) 📉 Market Snapshot Focus today: U.S. GDP (revised) and weekly jobless claims. FX market remains influenced by month-end flows, with overall direction still unclear. 📊 Expected Ranges by Currency Pair Pair Range Notes USD/JPY 146.80 – 147.80 Driven by U.S. data swings; consolidation around 147.00. […]
💱 U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence — Market Scenario & Strategy

đź’± U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence — Market Scenario & Strategy 📉 Market Overview Powell’s Jackson Hole speech reaffirmed a “data-dependent” stance. He flagged weakness in the labor market but left inflation concerns unresolved. September FOMC: 25bp rate cut odds ~90%, no major shift in market view. đź’µ Tokyo Session Moves USD/JPY: Traded in a […]
đź’ą Dollar Weakness Pauses, Market Searching for Direction

đź’ą Dollar Weakness Pauses, Market Searching for Direction 📌 Recap: End of Last Week & Tokyo Session Powell’s Jackson Hole speech revived rate-cut expectations, driving dollar weakness late last week. Tokyo opening: USD/JPY briefly climbed to 147.53, but fell back to the low-147s in a corrective move. U.S. equities supported risk-on yen selling, but follow-through […]
📌 Market Outlook: Quiet Adjustment Ahead of Powell’s Speech

📌 Market Outlook: Quiet Adjustment Ahead of Powell’s Speech đź’± Key Event: Powell’s Jackson Hole Address Focus: September FOMC rate cut outlook & the independence of the Fed. Scenarios: Dovish (rate cut hint) → U.S. yields lower, dollar selling → support for equities & risk assets. Hawkish / Emphasis on independence → U.S. yields higher, […]
📊 Daily Trade Strategy & Technical Analysis — August 21–22, 2025

📊 Daily Trade Strategy & Technical Analysis — August 21–22, 2025 đź’± Market Overview Tokyo session remained directionless, with markets awaiting Powell’s Jackson Hole speech (tomorrow, Aug 22 evening). Today’s focus: Eurozone/US PMI flash data & US jobless claims. However, moves are likely to be short-lived. Base case: range-bound corrective trading until Powell. 📊 Pair-by-Pair […]
💱 Market Outlook: Sideways Trading Ahead of Powell’s Speech & FOMC Minutes

đź’± Market Outlook: Sideways Trading Ahead of Powell’s Speech & FOMC Minutes 🔎 Today’s Key Event — FOMC Minutes This week’s main event: Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole (Friday). Until then, traders likely to remain sidelined → range-bound / directionless conditions. Tonight: FOMC minutes (July 29–30 meeting). Decision: rate hold. Notably: Vice Chair Bowman & […]
💱 Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech

đź’± Tokyo & London Market Summary: Directionless Trading, Focus Shifts to Powell’s Speech 📌 Tokyo Session Highlights S&P affirmed U.S. sovereign credit rating at “stable” outlook → brief dollar buying, but gains faded. USD/JPY moved lower compared with the previous day, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD saw some short covering. Overall, markets transitioned into a range-bound, […]
US–Ukraine Summit (President Trump × President Zelenskyy) | Market Outlook (Aug 18, 2025)

US–Ukraine Summit (President Trump Ă— President Zelenskyy) | Market Outlook (Aug 18, 2025) 🔹 Market Environment The dollar downtrend remains intact, but ahead of Jackson Hole (Aug 22), markets are likely to shift into a consolidation/adjustment phase. A 25bp Fed rate cut in September is already priced in. Early in the week, directional momentum should […]
đź’± Will the Dollar Maintain Its Trend into Next Week? Key U.S. Data Today: Retail Sales & More

đź’± Will the Dollar Maintain Its Trend into Next Week?Key U.S. Data Today: Retail Sales & More 📉 Weekly Market SummaryThis week saw an overall bias toward dollar selling, though market moves were sensitive to individual data releases and policy comments. U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (early August) Job growth slowed. Prior two months’ figures revised sharply […]