U.S. PCE Deflator Falls Short of Expectations, Triggering Broad Dollar Selling

U.S. PCE Deflator Falls Short of Expectations, Triggering Broad Dollar Selling U.S. PCE Deflator Results The November U.S. PCE Deflator was released as follows: YoY: +2.4% (previous: +2.3%) Market Forecast: +2.5% The Core PCE Deflator also came in below market expectations, signaling a slowdown in inflation. Following the release, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields declined, leading […]

Focus on the U.S. FOMC: Powell’s Press Conference and Rate Cut Outlook in Spotlight

Focus on the U.S. FOMC: Powell’s Press Conference and Rate Cut Outlook in Spotlight Market’s Key Event Today’s highlight is the final U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year. The market has priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut with a probability of approximately 95.4% (CME FedWatch). While the immediate reaction to the […]

Final Key Week of the Year: Central Bank Policies in Focus

Final Key Week of the Year: Central Bank Policies in Focus This Week’s Highlights This week marks a pivotal period as trading for the year essentially concludes. Major central bank monetary policy decisions, including the FOMC, BOJ, and BOE, are scheduled for later this week. These policy updates will be critical in shaping market direction […]

Currency Market Outlook Ahead of the Weekend: Yen Weakness and Dollar Strength to Persist?

Currency Market Outlook Ahead of the Weekend: Yen Weakness and Dollar Strength to Persist? Weekly Recap This week’s forex market was dominated by yen weakness and dollar strength, shaped by key events and economic indicators: Japanese Yen BOJ Policy Outlook: Expectations for a rate hike were delayed, increasing selling pressure on the yen. Markets are […]

ECB Meeting and CAD Dynamics: Dollar Strength and Risks for Euro and CAD Volatility

ECB Meeting and CAD Dynamics: Dollar Strength and Risks for Euro and CAD Volatility Key Market Focus Today 1. ECB Meeting and Lagarde’s Press Conference Event: ECB policy rate announcement. Expectation: A 25bp rate cut is already priced in. Focus: Lagarde’s commentary on economic outlook and future interest rate trajectories. Potential topics include the impact […]

US CPI and Canadian Rate Decision in Focus: Favor AUD Amid Yen Selling Pressure

US CPI and Canadian Rate Decision in Focus: Favor AUD Amid Yen Selling Pressure Key Points and Strategies for Today Forex Market Overview US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Release Time: 24:00 JST Market Forecasts: Headline CPI YoY: +2.7% (previous: +2.6%). Core CPI YoY: +3.3% (unchanged from previous). Headline CPI MoM: +0.3% (previous: +0.2%). Core CPI […]

Current Market Analysis and Next Strategies

Current Market Analysis and Next Strategies Forex Market Overview Yen Weakness Pauses China’s Stimulus Measures: Temporary yen and dollar weakness was observed after China’s stimulus announcements, but the momentum quickly faded. USD/JPY: Fell from the 151 yen range back to the 150 range. Monetary Policy ECB and FOMC: Rate cuts have already been priced in […]

Geopolitical Risks and Market Outlook: Opportunities for Yen Buying

Geopolitical Risks and Market Outlook: Opportunities for Yen Buying Market Conditions Rising Geopolitical Risks South Korea: Renewed impeachment proceedings against President Yoon are fueling political instability. Syria: The Assad regime has collapsed, with anti-government forces taking control. Ukraine: Trump’s stance on reducing support could have ripple effects on European markets. Japanese Economy Q3 GDP Revised […]