📊 November 3, 2025｜Major FX, Gold & BTC Technical Overview
🟩🟥⚪ Color Legend
🟩 = Bullish (Uptrend) 🟥 = Bearish (Downtrend) ⚪ = Neutral / Consolidation
💱 Multi-Timeframe Summary
| Pair | 5-min | 15-min | 1-hr | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| USD/JPY | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| GBP/USD | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| AUD/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Buy |
| USD/CAD | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| USD/CHF | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| USD/NZD | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| EUR/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| GBP/JPY | 🟩 Buy | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | ⚪ Neutral |
| AUD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| CAD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| CHF/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Buy |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell | ⚪ Neutral |
| NZD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| EUR/GBP | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| EUR/AUD | 🟩 Buy | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| NZD/CAD | 🟥 Sell | ⚪ Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| BTC/USD | 🟩 Buy | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
⚙️ Trend Overview
💵 USD: Unquestioned Strength — Global Dollar Rally Continues
USD/JPY (154.16)
-
Both hourly & daily charts remain strongly bullish.
-
Yen weakness deepens on rising U.S. yields and BOJ’s dovish tone.
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Intervention risk remains, but a break above 154.50 opens the door to ¥155+.
USD/CHF, USD/CAD, USD/NZD
-
All show synchronized “strong buy” signals across timeframes.
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The “Dollar Trio” leads the global rally, powered by prolonged Fed hawkishness.
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Commodity currencies (CAD, NZD) stay soft, amplifying dollar dominance.
💶 Europe: Broad Weakness, ECB Dovish Bias Deepens
EUR/USD (1.1513)
-
Strong sell across all timeframes.
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Post-ECB tone remains dovish, pulling euro lower toward 1.1450 key support.
GBP/USD (1.3130)
-
Persistent downtrend; technical and macro factors align bearishly.
-
BOE early-cut speculation reinforces sell-on-rally bias.
EUR/GBP (0.8769)
-
Despite euro softness, sterling is weaker still — daily chart flipped bullish.
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Scope for near-term euro rebound vs GBP.
💴 Cross-Yen: Mild Pullback, Underlying Yen Weakness Persists
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EUR/JPY, CAD/JPY, CHF/JPY: short-term corrections, but daily charts stay bullish — dips remain buying opportunities.
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AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY: daily “strong buy,” backed by risk-on sentiment and metals recovery.
💰 Gold (XAU/USD): Range-Bound at High Levels
XAU/USD (US$3,996)
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Short-term bearish bias, yet daily remains neutral.
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Consolidating near $4,000; stuck between U.S. yield pressure and geopolitical support.
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A break above $4,030 would reignite upward momentum.
🪙 BTC/USD: Persistent Decline — Risk Capital Retreats
BTC/USD (US$107,580)
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Strong sell across mid-to-long term.
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Correlated to U.S. equities and yields; downside risk toward $108,000 persists.
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Any rebounds likely shallow amid risk-off tone.
💎 Top Trend Strength Rankings
| Rank | Pair | Bias | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1️⃣ | USD/CAD | 🟩 Strong Buy | Dollar surge meets CAD softness — strongest pair. |
| 2️⃣ | USD/CHF | 🟩 Strong Buy | Parallel USD bid & CHF sell-off. |
| 3️⃣ | USD/NZD | 🟩 Strong Buy | Yield gap expansion between Fed & RBNZ. |
| 4️⃣ | USD/JPY | 🟩 Strong Buy | Break above 154 reinforces yen weakness. |
| 5️⃣ | EUR/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | Dovish ECB triggers euro slide. |
⚠️ Weak / At-Risk Pairs
| Pair | Reason |
|---|---|
| GBP/USD | Bearish both fundamentally and technically. |
| EUR/USD | Expanding yield gap favors further downside. |
| BTC/USD | Continues to face liquidation from risk aversion. |
| XAU/USD | Lacks direction; vulnerable to short-term correction. |
🧭 Summary
The global FX narrative remains “King Dollar Returns”.
Fed’s hawkish tone contrasts sharply with ECB & BOE easing bias.
Yen stays weak, gold consolidates, crypto corrects — all under dollar pressure.
💬 Key Focus:
-
Sustainability of USD/JPY above ¥154
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Continuation of EUR weakness amid ECB dovish tone
Gold holds range; BTC continues its descent —
the FX market remains firmly dollar-centric.
📌 Trade Strategy Snapshot
| Horizon | Pairs | Bias |
|---|---|---|
| Short-Term | USD/JPY · USD/CHF · USD/CAD | Buy dips — stay long USD |
| Medium-Term | EUR/USD · GBP/USD | Sell rallies near 1.16 / 1.32 |
| Long-Term | AUD/JPY · NZD/JPY | Maintain longs (risk-on bias) |
| Supplemental | XAU/USD · BTC/USD | Neutral to bearish; fade rebounds |
