π Technical Overview β Major FX, Gold & BTC
π
October 13, 2025
π©π₯βͺ Color Legend
π© = Bullish (Uptrend)βπ₯ = Bearish (Downtrend)ββͺ = Neutral (Range / Correction)
π± Multi-Timeframe Analysis
| Pair / Asset | 5-min | 15-min | 1-hr | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell |
| USD/JPY | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Sell | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| GBP/USD | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell |
| AUD/USD | π₯ Sell | βͺ Neutral | βͺ Neutral | π₯ Strong Sell |
| USD/CAD | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| USD/CHF | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy | βͺ Neutral | π© Strong Buy |
| USD/NZD | βͺ Neutral | βͺ Neutral | π© Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| EUR/JPY | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π© Strong Buy |
| GBP/JPY | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π© Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| AUD/JPY | π₯ Strong Sell | βͺ Neutral | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| CAD/JPY | π₯ Sell | π₯ Sell | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| CHF/JPY | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π© Strong Buy |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | π₯ Strong Sell | π© Buy | π© Strong Buy | π© Strong Buy |
| NZD/JPY | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | βͺ Neutral | π© Strong Buy |
| EUR/GBP | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Sell |
| EUR/AUD | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Sell | π₯ Sell |
| NZD/CAD | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Strong Sell |
| BTC/USD | π₯ Strong Sell | π₯ Sell | βͺ Neutral | βͺ Neutral |
βοΈ Trend Summary
π Bearish Bias β Expanding Risk-Off Sentiment
-
Broad weakness in the euro, pound, and commodity currencies.
β EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD continue lower across all timeframes.
β Global growth concerns and renewed dollar buying drive capital outflows from risk assets. -
Cross-yen pairs show short-term pullbacks (yen rebound).
β EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY remain bullish on the daily chart, but short-term corrections are underway amid intervention caution.
π Bullish Bias β Dollar-Led Structure
-
Dollar strength reignites, led by USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/NZD, all bullish across every timeframe.
β Supported by solid U.S. data and expectations of steady interest rates. -
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm around $4,070, showing strong dip-buying interest even after brief corrections.
π Key Highlights
| Category | Pairs / Assets | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| β Uptrend Continuation | USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/NZD, XAU/USD | Driven by dollar strength and safe-haven demand. |
| β οΈ Correction Phase | USD/JPY, Cross-yen pairs (EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY) | Temporary yen rebound amid intervention vigilance. |
| π¨ Bearish Momentum | EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/CAD | Risk-off selling pressure persists. |
| π‘ Neutral / Indecisive | BTC/USD | Moves independently of gold and dollar trends; momentum fading. |
π Market Themes (October 2025)
| Theme | Current Situation |
|---|---|
| π΅ Dollar Strength Persists | Supported by strong U.S. economy and high-rate outlook. |
| π΄ Yen Rebound | Political uncertainty and intervention speculation fuel temporary yen buying. |
| π° Gold, Oil & BTC Mixed | Gold stays high; BTC softens; commodities reflect risk-off tone. |
| πͺπΊ European Weakness | Growth slowdown and ECBβs dovish bias weigh on euro bloc. |
π Top 3 Pairs to Watch
-
USD/CAD β Holding above 1.40, maintaining a firm uptrend supported by soft Canadian data.
-
XAU/USD (Gold) β Above $4,000 with consistent dip-buying; bullish bias intact.
-
USD/JPY β Short-term weakness but long-term uptrend intact while above Β₯152.
β οΈ Downside Risks / Sell-on-Rally Setups
-
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD: Favor sell-on-rally strategies.
-
NZD/CAD, EUR/AUD: Could extend declines in further risk-off waves.
π Summary Comment
The market structure shows broad dollar strength, weakness in euro and AUD, and a temporary yen rebound.
Cross-yen pairs are correcting but remain bullish on the daily horizon.
Dollar strength, firm gold, and risk-off sentiment define the second half of October.
Among majors, USD/CAD and XAU/USD continue to serve as key directional indicators for overall market tone.
