📊 October 7, 2025｜Major FX, Gold & BTC Technical Summary
🟩🟥⚪ Color Matrix Legend
🟩 = Bullish bias (uptrend)
🟥 = Bearish bias (downtrend)
⚪ = Neutral / no clear direction
💱 Major Currency Pair Technical Matrix
| Pair | 5-min | 15-min | 1-hour | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ⚪ Buy | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| USD/JPY | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| GBP/USD | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell |
| AUD/USD | ⚪ Neutral | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| USD/CAD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| USD/CHF | 🟥 Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral |
| USD/NZD | 🟥 Strong Sell | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Buy |
| EUR/JPY | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| GBP/JPY | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| AUD/JPY | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| CAD/JPY | 🟩 Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| CHF/JPY | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| NZD/JPY | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
| EUR/GBP | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell |
| EUR/AUD | ⚪ Neutral | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| NZD/CAD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell |
| BTC/USD | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⚪ Neutral | 🟩 Strong Buy |
⚙️ Strategic Outlook
📈 Bullish Bias (Long Strategy)
Cross-Yen (JPY weakness dominates)
→ GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY, and CHF/JPY are bullish across all timeframes.
→ The yen-weak trend remains strong — buying dips remains the core strategy.
USD/JPY
→ Holding firm above ¥150 with buy signals intact.
Monitor for official intervention risk, but momentum remains upward.
XAU/USD (Gold) and BTC/USD
→ Both retain strong buy signals, showing persistent demand as hedges
even in a strong-dollar environment.
📉 Bearish Bias (Short Strategy)
EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/AUD
→ Euro weakness continues across the board, especially vs USD and GBP.
GBP/USD
→ Economic slowdown risks in the U.K. support a “sell-on-rallies” approach.
NZD/CAD
→ Consistent downtrend across all timeframes — bearish continuation bias.
⚪ Neutral / Wait-and-See Zones
AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/JPY
→ Mixed short-term and mid-term signals; wait for a clearer trend reversal confirmation.
🌟 Top 3 Pairs to Watch
-
USD/JPY (Dollar-Yen)
→ The centerpiece of dollar strength and yen weakness.
Watch for intervention headlines if it breaks decisively above ¥151. -
XAU/USD (Gold)
→ Firm near recent highs; sustained buying pressure even amid rising risk appetite. -
GBP/JPY (Pound-Yen)
→ Major cross benefiting most from yen weakness; the key leader among cross-yen pairs.
⚠️ Top 3 Caution Pairs
-
EUR/USD
→ Bearish across all timeframes; parity retest risk cannot be ruled out. -
NZD/CAD
→ Ongoing weakness within the commodity-currency complex. -
EUR/AUD
→ Favors AUD buying vs euro selling; euro remains under pressure.
🧭 Overall Market Picture (Early October 2025)
💵 Strong Dollar × Weak Yen remains the defining theme
(Fed hawkish stance + continued BoJ easing).
💰 Risk assets (Gold, BTC) remain resilient — driven by capital rotation and diversification.
🇪🇺 Euro lags behind — weighed down by stagnation fears and relative policy caution.
📌 Summary
The “Strong Dollar × Weak Yen × Weak Euro” structure remains firmly in place.
Divergence between cross-yen pairs and dollar-straights is widening,
producing a hybrid market of yen selling + gold/BTC buying —
a clear reflection of multi-asset rotation in early Q4 2025.
